--- title: "Green Envy case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Green Envy ($8.02) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.96% from 15 items with odds, observed 85.24% over 990 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/green-envy rendered: 2026-11-11T18:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Green Envy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/green-envy) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Green Envy A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/green-envy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/green-envy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/green-envy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/green-envy?window=all) Price · $8.02 · 16.04 coins Advertised RTP · 89.96% · EV $7.21 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.24% · 990 openings, odds method Variance · 11.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 27 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 68 openings · below min 7 days · 81.14% ±23.34 827 openings 30 days · 85.24% ±21.33 990 openings since tracking started · 85.24% ±21.33 990 openings -0.5% 58.0% 116.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/green-envy?window=24h) | 68 | 34.52% ±81.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/green-envy?window=7d) | 827 | 81.14% ±23.3 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/green-envy) | 990 | 85.24% ±21.3 | −0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/green-envy?window=all) | 990 | 85.24% ±21.3 | −0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 996 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,000 | $506 1,012 coins | 7.0% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $261 522 coins | 7.2% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 286 | $206 413 coins | 10.0% | 5 | 3.5 | 1.43× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $101 201 coins | 7.0% | 2 | 5.0 | 0.40× | | [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-cobra-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 150 | $95.73 191 coins | 8.8% | 4 | 6.6 | 0.60× | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 136 | $83.53 167 coins | 8.5% | 8 | 7.3 | 1.09× | | [Souvenir P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $54.19 108 coins | 8.3% | 9 | 11.0 | 0.82× | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) weapon · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 80 | $44.54 89.07 coins | 7.7% | 12 | 12.5 | 0.96× | | [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $26.63 53.26 coins | 5.5% | 15 | 14.9 | 1.00× | | [SCAR-20 \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $23.26 46.51 coins | 6.4% | 25 | 19.9 | 1.26× | | [Dual Berettas \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $22.69 45.37 coins | 6.3% | 29 | 19.9 | 1.46× | | [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $12.01 24.01 coins | 6.7% | 37 | 39.8 | 0.93× | | [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $11.22 22.44 coins | 6.2% | 44 | 39.8 | 1.10× | | [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $7.63 15.26 coins | 4.2% | 48 | 39.8 | 1.20× | | [XM1014 \| Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) | 77.6% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.1% | 756 | 772.9 | 0.98× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=green-envy) [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $8.02 16.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $8.02 16.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $8.02 16.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $8.02 16.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC [USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) Hidden $8.02 16.04 coins $11.22 22.44 coins 1.40x 2026-11-11 18:14 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) Hidden $8.02 16.04 coins $7.63 15.26 coins 0.95x 2026-11-11 18:14 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $8.02 16.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:14 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $8.02 16.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:14 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $8.02 16.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:01 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $8.02 16.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $8.02 | 89.96% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.9% restricted 2.6% classified 10.2% extraordinary 0.7% Mythical 1.1% mil spec 6.0% consumer 77.6% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.96 on average: an expected loss of $10.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt