--- title: "Gutted case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Gutted ($11.36) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 8 items with odds, observed 147.32% over 3,859 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gutted rendered: 2026-11-11T19:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Gutted](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gutted) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Gutted A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gutted?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gutted?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gutted) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gutted?window=all) Price · $11.36 · 22.72 coins Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $10.22 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 147.32% · 3,859 openings, odds method Variance · 221.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 400 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 98.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 214 openings · below min 7 days · 139.22% ±54.20 2,895 openings 30 days · 147.32% ±46.95 3,859 openings since tracking started · 147.32% ±46.95 3,859 openings 84.5% 290.3% 496.0% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 89.97% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (100.38% – 194.27%, 3,859 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gutted?window=24h) | 214 | 296.02% ±199.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gutted?window=7d) | 2,895 | 139.22% ±54.2 | +1.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gutted) | 3,859 | 147.32% ±46.9 | +2.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/gutted?window=all) | 3,859 | 147.32% ±46.9 | +2.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,875 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| mousesports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,498 6,995 coins | 34.2% | 7 | 3.9 | 1.81× | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 667 | $3,288 6,576 coins | 48.3% | 10 | 5.8 | 1.72× | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $150 300 coins | 14.7% | 43 | 38.8 | 1.11× | | [Dual Berettas \| Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $2.01 4.01 coins | 1.0% | 177 | 193.8 | 0.91× | | [Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1.01 2.02 coins | 0.5% | 174 | 193.8 | 0.90× | | [FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-decommissioned-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $0.28 0.57 coins | 0.3% | 348 | 348.8 | 1.00× | | [Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-field-tested) | 29.0% | $0.25 0.5 coins | 0.7% | 1,128 | 1123.8 | 1.00× | | [R8 Revolver \| Junk Yard (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-field-tested) | 50.7% | $0.08 0.16 coins | 0.4% | 1,988 | 1966.6 | 1.01× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $11.36 22.72 coins $3,498 6,995 coins 307.9x 2026-11-11 19:21 UTC [Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $11.36 22.72 coins $3,498 6,995 coins 307.9x 2026-11-11 18:45 UTC [Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $11.36 22.72 coins $3,498 6,995 coins 307.9x 2026-11-07 12:42 UTC [Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $11.36 22.72 coins $3,498 6,995 coins 307.9x 2026-11-06 13:27 UTC [Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $11.36 22.72 coins $3,498 6,995 coins 307.9x 2026-11-05 23:54 UTC [Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $11.36 22.72 coins $3,498 6,995 coins 307.9x 2026-11-03 16:40 UTC [Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $11.36 22.72 coins $3,498 6,995 coins 307.9x 2026-11-03 13:19 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $11.36 22.72 coins $3,288 6,576 coins 289.4x 2026-11-09 12:21 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $11.36 22.72 coins $3,288 6,576 coins 289.4x 2026-11-09 12:19 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $11.36 22.72 coins $3,288 6,576 coins 289.4x 2026-11-08 16:18 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=gutted) [R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-field-tested) Hidden $11.36 22.72 coins $0.08 0.16 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC [R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-field-tested) Hidden $11.36 22.72 coins $0.08 0.16 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC [FAMAS | Decommissioned (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-decommissioned-factory-new) Hidden $11.36 22.72 coins $0.28 0.57 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $11.36 22.72 coins $150 300 coins 13.21x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC [R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-field-tested) [Ponne03](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Ponne03) $11.36 22.72 coins $0.08 0.16 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC [Sawed-Off | Limelight (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-field-tested) Hidden $11.36 22.72 coins $0.25 0.5 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC [Sawed-Off | Limelight (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-field-tested) Hidden $11.36 22.72 coins $0.25 0.5 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC [R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-field-tested) Hidden $11.36 22.72 coins $0.08 0.16 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC [R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-field-tested) Hidden $11.36 22.72 coins $0.08 0.16 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:19 UTC [Dual Berettas | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-field-tested) Hidden $11.36 22.72 coins $2.01 4.01 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 19:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $11.36 | 89.97% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 0.1% covert 0.1% covert knife 1.0% #777777 5.0% restricted 34.0% mil spec 9.0% blue 50.7% best hit $3,498 (307.9x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt