--- title: "Halloween 5% case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Halloween 5% ($12.50) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.84% over 1,166 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halloween-5 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Halloween 5%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halloween-5) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Halloween 5% A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halloween-5?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halloween-5?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halloween-5) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halloween-5?window=all) Price · $12.50 · 25 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.84% · 1,166 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 112 openings · below min 7 days · 769 openings · below min 30 days · 87.84% ±39.21 1,166 openings since tracking started · 87.84% ±39.21 1,166 openings -0.5% 299.5% 599.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halloween-5?window=24h) | 112 | 250.30% ±348.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halloween-5?window=7d) | 769 | 83.98% ±54.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halloween-5) | 1,166 | 87.84% ±39.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halloween-5?window=all) | 1,166 | 87.84% ±39.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $2,468 4,935 coins 197.4x 2026-11-11 09:32 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $677 1,353 coins 54.13x 2026-11-04 09:28 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $677 1,353 coins 54.13x 2026-11-03 01:22 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=halloween-5) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:26 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:26 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:26 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:26 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:26 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:26 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:39 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:39 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:39 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,468 (197.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.84 on average: an expected loss of $12.16 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt