--- title: "HalloweenTime5554 case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "HalloweenTime5554 ($63.13) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 53.86% over 12 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halloweentime5554 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [HalloweenTime5554](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halloweentime5554) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · HalloweenTime5554 A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halloweentime5554?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halloweentime5554?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halloweentime5554) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halloweentime5554?window=all) Price · $63.13 · 126 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 53.86% · 12 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min 13.0% 53.8% 94.5% **Small sample.** 12 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halloweentime5554?window=24h) | 12 | 53.86% ±40.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halloweentime5554?window=7d) | 12 | 53.86% ±40.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halloweentime5554) | 12 | 53.86% ±40.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halloweentime5554?window=all) | 12 | 53.86% ±40.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=halloweentime5554) [Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $63.13 126 coins $56.39 113 coins 0.89x 2026-11-11 16:55 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-field-tested) Hidden $63.13 126 coins $149 298 coins 2.36x 2026-11-11 16:55 UTC [Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $63.13 126 coins $56.39 113 coins 0.89x 2026-11-11 16:55 UTC [Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $63.13 126 coins $56.39 113 coins 0.89x 2026-11-11 16:55 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $63.13 126 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:55 UTC [Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $63.13 126 coins $56.39 113 coins 0.89x 2026-11-11 16:55 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-field-tested) Hidden $63.13 126 coins $149 298 coins 2.36x 2026-11-11 16:55 UTC [Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $63.13 126 coins $56.39 113 coins 0.89x 2026-11-11 16:55 UTC [Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $63.13 126 coins $56.39 113 coins 0.89x 2026-11-11 16:55 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [Sorhex](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Sorhex) $63.13 126 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 53.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $53.86 on average: an expected loss of $46.14 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt