--- title: "Halo case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Halo ($86.88) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 18 items with odds, observed 116.43% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halo rendered: 2026-11-11T17:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Halo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halo) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Halo A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halo?window=all) Price · $86.88 · 174 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $78.18 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 116.43% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 24.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 57.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min 53.0% 116.3% 179.5% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 3.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halo?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halo?window=7d) | 12 | 116.43% ±62.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halo) | 12 | 116.43% ±62.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/halo?window=all) | 12 | 116.43% ±62.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $8,979 17,957 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,730 5,460 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,606 3,212 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $633 1,265 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $583 1,165 coins | 3.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $373 745 coins | 4.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [MP7 \| Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-whiteout-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $367 733 coins | 4.7% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $310 620 coins | 11.9% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $157 314 coins | 10.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [USP-S \| Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $146 292 coins | 9.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $117 234 coins | 13.5% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [P250 \| Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $105 209 coins | 12.0% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.93× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $93.07 186 coins | 10.7% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| X-Ray (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-x-ray-factory-new) | 12.0% | $56.87 114 coins | 8.7% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [P250 \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $23.04 46.07 coins | 3.5% | 4 | 1.4 | 2.78× | | [USP-S \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-field-tested) | 12.0% | $19.52 39.04 coins | 3.0% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× | | [AUG \| Wings (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-factory-new) | 12.0% | $13.05 26.1 coins | 2.0% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× | | [M249 \| Blizzard Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-blizzard-marbleized-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $4.57 9.13 coins | 0.5% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=halo) [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) Hidden $86.88 174 coins $310 620 coins 3.57x 2026-11-08 17:11 UTC [USP-S | Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-factory-new) Hidden $86.88 174 coins $146 292 coins 1.68x 2026-11-08 17:11 UTC [P250 | Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-factory-new) Hidden $86.88 174 coins $105 209 coins 1.20x 2026-11-08 17:11 UTC [USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-field-tested) Hidden $86.88 174 coins $19.52 39.04 coins 0.22x 2026-11-08 17:11 UTC [M249 | Blizzard Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-blizzard-marbleized-field-tested) Hidden $86.88 174 coins $4.57 9.13 coins 0.05x 2026-11-08 17:11 UTC [P250 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-minimal-wear) [raka12k](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/raka12k) $86.88 174 coins $23.04 46.07 coins 0.27x 2026-11-08 17:11 UTC [P250 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-minimal-wear) Hidden $86.88 174 coins $23.04 46.07 coins 0.27x 2026-11-08 17:10 UTC [AUG | Wings (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-factory-new) Hidden $86.88 174 coins $13.05 26.1 coins 0.15x 2026-11-08 17:10 UTC [AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) Hidden $86.88 174 coins $157 314 coins 1.81x 2026-11-08 17:10 UTC [MP7 | Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-whiteout-factory-new) Hidden $86.88 174 coins $367 733 coins 4.22x 2026-11-08 17:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $86.88 | 90.00% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.0% other 9.0% covert 14.6% epic 1.0% mil spec 34.0% sunny 3.0% classified 17.0% Covert 12.0% industrial 9.4% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt