--- title: "Hawaii 5% case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Hawaii 5% ($5.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 76.30% over 4,173 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hawaii-5 rendered: 2026-11-12T10:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Hawaii 5%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hawaii-5) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Hawaii 5% A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hawaii-5?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hawaii-5?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hawaii-5) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hawaii-5?window=all) Price · $5.00 · 10 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 76.30% · 4,173 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 301 openings · below min 7 days · 77.38% ±19.64 3,047 openings 30 days · 76.30% ±15.40 4,173 openings since tracking started · 76.30% ±15.40 4,173 openings 19.5% 69.0% 118.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hawaii-5?window=24h) | 301 | 69.11% ±48.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hawaii-5?window=7d) | 3,047 | 77.38% ±19.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hawaii-5) | 4,173 | 76.30% ±15.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hawaii-5?window=all) | 4,173 | 76.30% ±15.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $741 1,483 coins 148.3x 2026-11-10 14:19 UTC [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $741 1,483 coins 148.3x 2026-11-08 01:43 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $297 595 coins 59.47x 2026-11-11 15:17 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $297 595 coins 59.47x 2026-11-10 09:29 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $297 595 coins 59.47x 2026-11-07 22:04 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $297 595 coins 59.47x 2026-11-07 17:27 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $297 595 coins 59.47x 2026-11-06 16:39 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $297 595 coins 59.47x 2026-11-06 14:57 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $297 595 coins 59.47x 2026-11-04 18:55 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=hawaii-5) [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 08:53 UTC [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 08:53 UTC [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 08:53 UTC [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 08:53 UTC [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 08:53 UTC [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) weapon · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) [fficient](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/fficient) $5.00 10 coins $44.54 89.07 coins 8.91x 2026-11-12 08:53 UTC [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 08:53 UTC [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 08:53 UTC [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 08:53 UTC [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 08:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $741 (148.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.30 on average: an expected loss of $23.70 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt