--- title: "HEAT 7% case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "HEAT 7% ($5.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 100.74% over 9,930 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/heat-7 rendered: 2026-11-11T17:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [HEAT 7%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/heat-7) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · HEAT 7% A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/heat-7?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/heat-7?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/heat-7) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/heat-7?window=all) Price · $5.00 · 10 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 100.74% · 9,930 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 79.00% ±29.74 1,848 openings 7 days · 86.77% ±17.09 8,515 openings 30 days · 100.74% ±30.27 9,930 openings since tracking started · 100.74% ±30.27 9,930 openings 48.5% 90.0% 131.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/heat-7?window=24h) | 1,848 | 79.00% ±29.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/heat-7?window=7d) | 8,515 | 86.77% ±17.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/heat-7) | 9,930 | 100.74% ±30.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/heat-7?window=all) | 9,930 | 100.74% ±30.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $6,562 13,124 coins 1,312x 2026-11-04 15:58 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $1,239 2,478 coins 247.8x 2026-11-10 15:55 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $1,239 2,478 coins 247.8x 2026-11-05 21:00 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $809 1,619 coins 161.9x 2026-11-10 09:16 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $809 1,619 coins 161.9x 2026-11-08 00:26 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $809 1,619 coins 161.9x 2026-11-07 23:56 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $809 1,619 coins 161.9x 2026-11-07 00:06 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $809 1,619 coins 161.9x 2026-11-07 00:06 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $809 1,619 coins 161.9x 2026-11-05 18:53 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $700 1,401 coins 140.1x 2026-11-10 22:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=heat-7) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [patriarch1337](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/patriarch1337) $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $6,562 (1,312x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 100.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $100.74 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt