--- title: "Hidden Eggs case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Hidden Eggs ($11.06) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 11 items with odds, observed 99.08% over 1,111 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hidden-eggs rendered: 2026-11-11T13:30Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Hidden Eggs](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hidden-eggs) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Hidden Eggs A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hidden-eggs?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hidden-eggs?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hidden-eggs) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hidden-eggs?window=all) Price · $11.06 · 22.11 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $9.95 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 99.08% · 1,111 openings, odds method Variance · 11.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 38 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 28 openings · below min 7 days · 100.23% ±22.12 887 openings 30 days · 99.08% ±19.77 1,111 openings since tracking started · 99.08% ±19.77 1,111 openings -0.5% 72.0% 144.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hidden-eggs?window=24h) | 28 | 19.30% ±124.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hidden-eggs?window=7d) | 887 | 100.23% ±22.1 | +0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hidden-eggs) | 1,111 | 99.08% ±19.8 | +0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hidden-eggs?window=all) | 1,111 | 99.08% ±19.8 | +0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,111 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,353 2,706 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,316 2,632 coins | 0.1% | 1 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $633 1,265 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $339 679 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $254 508 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 63 | $226 451 coins | 36.3% | 21 | 17.8 | 1.18× | | [MAC-10 \| Hot Snakes (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-hot-snakes-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $156 313 coins | 15.7% | 10 | 11.1 | 0.90× | | [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $106 211 coins | 21.2% | 19 | 22.2 | 0.86× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $59.61 119 coins | 24.0% | 39 | 44.4 | 0.88× | | [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $5.11 10.21 coins | 2.1% | 42 | 44.4 | 0.95× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) | 87.4% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 979 | 970.9 | 1.01× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) Hidden $11.06 22.11 coins $1,316 2,632 coins 119.1x 2026-11-06 17:36 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=hidden-eggs) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $11.06 22.11 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:02 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) Hidden $11.06 22.11 coins $59.61 119 coins 5.39x 2026-11-11 12:02 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $11.06 22.11 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:02 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $11.06 22.11 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:02 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $11.06 22.11 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:02 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $11.06 22.11 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:02 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $11.06 22.11 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:02 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $11.06 22.11 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:02 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $11.06 22.11 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:02 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $11.06 22.11 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $11.06 | 89.99% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.6% high 0.0% covert knife 0.0% classified 5.0% violet 4.0% consumer 87.4% best hit $1,316 (119.1x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt