---
title: "High-Rise case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "High-Rise ($11.02) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 24 items with odds, observed 96.75% over 4,624 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/high-rise
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:57Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [High-Rise](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/high-rise)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · High-Rise

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/high-rise?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/high-rise?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/high-rise) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/high-rise?window=all)

Price · $11.02 · 22.03 coins

Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $9.91 from 24 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 96.75% · 4,624 openings, odds method

Variance · 61.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 94.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 70.28% ±79.92 367 openings

7 days · 100.88% ±25.36 3,644 openings

30 days · 96.75% ±22.52 4,624 openings

since tracking started · 96.75% ±22.52 4,624 openings

-0.5% 75.3% 151.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/high-rise?window=24h) | 367 | 70.28% ±79.9 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/high-rise?window=7d) | 3,644 | 100.88% ±25.4 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/high-rise) | 4,624 | 96.75% ±22.5 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/high-rise?window=all) | 4,624 | 96.75% ±22.5 | +0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,624 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $6,181 12,362 coins | 6.2% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $2,441 4,881 coins | 4.9% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,371 2,743 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $1,036 2,071 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $758 1,515 coins | 3.8% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $525 1,051 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $373 745 coins | 3.8% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.08× |
| [Souvenir FAMAS \| Colony (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-colony-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $310 620 coins | 3.1% | 6 | 4.6 | 1.30× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $266 531 coins | 2.7% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.87× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-royal-paladin-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $201 402 coins | 5.1% | 13 | 11.6 | 1.12× |
| [Souvenir P90 \| Run and Hide (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-run-and-hide-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $166 333 coins | 8.4% | 23 | 23.1 | 0.99× |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $151 302 coins | 11.4% | 44 | 34.7 | 1.27× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Bloomstick (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-bloomstick-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $128 256 coins | 12.9% | 52 | 46.2 | 1.12× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $104 208 coins | 10.5% | 47 | 46.2 | 1.02× |
| [MAC-10 \| Copper Borre (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-copper-borre-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $76.16 152 coins | 7.7% | 51 | 46.2 | 1.10× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $50.58 101 coins | 5.1% | 37 | 46.2 | 0.80× |
| [P90 \| Scorched (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $2.61 5.21 coins | 1.3% | 228 | 231.2 | 0.99× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-meteorite-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.72 1.45 coins | 0.7% | 466 | 462.4 | 1.01× |
| [P2000 \| Turf (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.53 1.06 coins | 0.5% | 432 | 462.4 | 0.93× |
| [M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-factory-new) | 12.0% | $0.25 0.5 coins | 0.3% | 553 | 554.9 | 1.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Origami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-factory-new) | 12.0% | $0.20 0.39 coins | 0.2% | 529 | 554.9 | 0.95× |
| [P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.10 0.21 coins | 0.2% | 742 | 693.6 | 1.07× |
| [G3SG1 \| VariCamo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.06 0.11 coins | 0.1% | 681 | 693.6 | 0.98× |
| [Negev \| Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-army-sheen-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.0% | 706 | 693.6 | 1.02× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $11.02 22.03 coins $6,181 12,362 coins 561.2x 2026-11-04 19:36 UTC

[M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $11.02 22.03 coins $2,441 4,881 coins 221.6x 2026-11-07 02:24 UTC

[M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $11.02 22.03 coins $2,441 4,881 coins 221.6x 2026-11-06 00:46 UTC

[M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) Hidden $11.02 22.03 coins $758 1,515 coins 68.79x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) Hidden $11.02 22.03 coins $758 1,515 coins 68.79x 2026-11-04 19:35 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=high-rise)

[Sawed-Off | Origami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-factory-new) Hidden $11.02 22.03 coins $0.20 0.39 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC

[M4A4 | Poly Mag (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-factory-new) Hidden $11.02 22.03 coins $0.25 0.5 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC

[G3SG1 | VariCamo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-factory-new) Hidden $11.02 22.03 coins $0.06 0.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC

[M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $11.02 22.03 coins $50.58 101 coins 4.59x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC

[P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-factory-new) Hidden $11.02 22.03 coins $0.10 0.21 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC

[P2000 | Turf (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-factory-new) Hidden $11.02 22.03 coins $0.53 1.06 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Origami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-factory-new) Hidden $11.02 22.03 coins $0.20 0.39 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC

[M4A4 | Poly Mag (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-factory-new) [BG2x](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BG2x) $11.02 22.03 coins $0.25 0.5 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Origami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-factory-new) Hidden $11.02 22.03 coins $0.20 0.39 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC

[Negev | Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-army-sheen-factory-new) Hidden $11.02 22.03 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $11.02 | 89.98% | 24 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.4% classified 1.4% #eb4b4b 0.1% epic 0.1% other 0.1% #D32CE6 1.0% Classified 1.0% mil spec 13.0% consumer 5.0% blue 10.0% Rare 25.0% milspec 12.0% industrial 15.0% Common 15.0% best hit $6,181 (561.2x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt