--- title: "High Stakes case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "High Stakes ($1,120.89) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 79.56% over 68 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/high-stakes rendered: 2026-11-11T17:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [High Stakes](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/high-stakes) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · High Stakes A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/high-stakes?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/high-stakes?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/high-stakes) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/high-stakes?window=all) Price · $1,120.89 · 2,242 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,008.80 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 79.56% · 68 openings, odds method Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 16.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 72.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 68 openings · below min 30 days · 68 openings · below min since tracking started · 68 openings · below min -0.5% 74.0% 148.5% **Small sample.** 68 openings and 10.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/high-stakes?window=24h) | 8 | 46.14% ±101.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/high-stakes?window=7d) | 68 | 79.56% ±34.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/high-stakes) | 68 | 79.56% ±34.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/high-stakes?window=all) | 68 | 79.56% ±34.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 68 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| kNgV- (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kngv-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 25 | $4,260 8,520 coins | 16.9% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.10× | | [Sticker \| HEN1 (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hen1-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 25 | $4,137 8,274 coins | 16.4% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.10× | | [Sticker \| keshandr (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 25 | $3,915 7,830 coins | 15.5% | 5 | 2.7 | 1.84× | | [Charm \| Baby Karat CT charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-baby-karat-ct) | 1 in 25 | $3,848 7,697 coins | 15.3% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| Twistzz (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-twistzz-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 25 | $3,407 6,814 coins | 13.5% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.10× | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 25 | $3,107 6,214 coins | 12.3% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $2,545 5,091 coins | 10.1% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× | | [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 72.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 52 | 49.0 | 1.06× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | kNgV- (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kngv-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $1,121 2,242 coins $4,260 8,520 coins 3.80x 2026-11-08 01:23 UTC [Sticker | kNgV- (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kngv-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $1,121 2,242 coins $4,260 8,520 coins 3.80x 2026-11-08 01:23 UTC [Sticker | kNgV- (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kngv-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $1,121 2,242 coins $4,260 8,520 coins 3.80x 2026-11-06 00:45 UTC [Sticker | HEN1 (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hen1-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $1,121 2,242 coins $4,137 8,274 coins 3.69x 2026-11-10 22:38 UTC [Sticker | HEN1 (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hen1-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $1,121 2,242 coins $4,137 8,274 coins 3.69x 2026-11-10 16:33 UTC [Sticker | HEN1 (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hen1-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $1,121 2,242 coins $4,137 8,274 coins 3.69x 2026-11-08 01:23 UTC [Sticker | keshandr (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $1,121 2,242 coins $3,915 7,830 coins 3.49x 2026-11-08 01:23 UTC [Sticker | keshandr (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $1,121 2,242 coins $3,915 7,830 coins 3.49x 2026-11-08 01:23 UTC [Sticker | keshandr (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $1,121 2,242 coins $3,915 7,830 coins 3.49x 2026-11-08 01:23 UTC [Sticker | keshandr (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $1,121 2,242 coins $3,915 7,830 coins 3.49x 2026-11-08 01:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=high-stakes) [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1,121 2,242 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:38 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1,121 2,242 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:38 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1,121 2,242 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:38 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1,121 2,242 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:38 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1,121 2,242 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:38 UTC [Sticker | HEN1 (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hen1-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $1,121 2,242 coins $4,137 8,274 coins 3.69x 2026-11-10 22:38 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1,121 2,242 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:38 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [BreeTheG](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BreeTheG) $1,121 2,242 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:38 UTC [Sticker | HEN1 (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hen1-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $1,121 2,242 coins $4,137 8,274 coins 3.69x 2026-11-10 16:33 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1,121 2,242 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 16:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,121 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 12.0% #EB4B4B 4.0% rare 4.0% covert 8.0% #4b69ff 72.0% best hit $4,260 (3.80x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt