---
title: "Highroller case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Highroller ($1,464.05) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 84.25% over 8 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/highroller
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Highroller](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/highroller)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Highroller

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/highroller?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/highroller?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/highroller) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/highroller?window=all)

Price · $1,464.05 · 2,928 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,317.64 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.25% · 8 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 8 openings · below min

30 days · 8 openings · below min

since tracking started · 8 openings · below min

5.5% 84.2% 163.0%

**Small sample.** 8 openings and 1.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/highroller?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/highroller?window=7d) | 8 | 84.25% ±78.1 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/highroller) | 8 | 84.25% ±78.1 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/highroller?window=all) | 8 | 84.25% ±78.1 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,892 13,784 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,000 | $5,893 11,786 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| captainMo (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-captainmo-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 1,000 | $5,513 11,026 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,962 9,924 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $4,761 9,523 coins | 30.0% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 12 | $3,746 7,492 coins | 23.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [Sticker \| mousesports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 12 | $3,498 6,995 coins | 22.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $1,433 2,866 coins | 9.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $667 1,334 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 12 | $658 1,315 coins | 4.1% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $307 614 coins | 1.9% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $175 350 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $150 300 coins | 0.9% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-control-panel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $97.20 194 coins | 0.6% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $51.39 103 coins | 0.3% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $51.37 103 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $1,464 2,928 coins $4,761 9,523 coins 3.25x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,464 2,928 coins $3,746 7,492 coins 2.56x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $1,464 2,928 coins $658 1,315 coins 0.45x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=highroller)

[M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $1,464 2,928 coins $4,761 9,523 coins 3.25x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,464 2,928 coins $3,746 7,492 coins 2.56x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-fade-factory-new) [JohnDoe77](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/JohnDoe77) $1,464 2,928 coins $307 614 coins 0.21x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC

[AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) Hidden $1,464 2,928 coins $51.39 103 coins 0.04x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC

[Souvenir M4A1-S | Control Panel (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-control-panel-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,464 2,928 coins $97.20 194 coins 0.07x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $1,464 2,928 coins $658 1,315 coins 0.45x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-field-tested) Hidden $1,464 2,928 coins $150 300 coins 0.10x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC

[Souvenir M4A1-S | Control Panel (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-control-panel-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,464 2,928 coins $97.20 194 coins 0.07x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,464 | 90.00% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 41.7% Knives 0.1% extraordinary 8.4% contraband 8.3% remarkable 8.3% Covert 8.3% gold 8.3% Classified 8.3% classified 8.3% best hit $4,761 (3.25x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt