--- title: "Hippy Treasure case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Hippy Treasure ($194.69) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hippy-treasure rendered: 2026-11-11T14:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Hippy Treasure](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hippy-treasure) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Hippy Treasure A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hippy-treasure?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hippy-treasure?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hippy-treasure) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hippy-treasure?window=all) Price · $194.69 · 389 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $175.21 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 0.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 32.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 38.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hippy-treasure?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hippy-treasure?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hippy-treasure) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hippy-treasure?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 200 | $601 1,202 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $425 850 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 80 | $331 661 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $292 583 coins | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $281 562 coins | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $270 541 coins | 12.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Survival Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 12.0% | $245 491 coins | 16.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 15.0% | $226 451 coins | 19.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-fade-factory-new) | 15.0% | $201 401 coins | 17.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 10.0% | $130 260 coins | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $72.14 144 coins | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Charm \| Lil' Teacup charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-teacup) | 20.0% | $20.23 40.45 coins | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=hippy-treasure) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $195 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 16.8% Covert 0.8% sunny 3.5% covert knife 49.0% #ffd700 10.0% #8847ff 20.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt