--- title: "Hollow case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Hollow ($1.36) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.85% from 6 items with odds, observed 91.72% over 1,051 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hollow rendered: 2026-11-11T17:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Hollow](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hollow) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Hollow A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hollow?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hollow?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hollow) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hollow?window=all) Price · $1.36 · 2.71 coins Advertised RTP · 89.85% · EV $1.22 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.72% · 1,051 openings, odds method Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 55 openings · below min 7 days · 92.12% ±6.18 942 openings 30 days · 91.72% ±5.85 1,051 openings since tracking started · 91.72% ±5.85 1,051 openings 59.5% 85.8% 112.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hollow?window=24h) | 55 | 85.91% ±25.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hollow?window=7d) | 942 | 92.12% ±6.18 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hollow) | 1,051 | 91.72% ±5.85 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hollow?window=all) | 1,051 | 91.72% ±5.85 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,051 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) | 20.0% | $3.12 6.23 coins | 51.2% | 216 | 210.2 | 1.03× | | [M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-battlestar-field-tested) | 10.0% | $2.78 5.55 coins | 22.8% | 119 | 105.1 | 1.13× | | [Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-field-tested) | 10.0% | $1.82 3.63 coins | 14.9% | 100 | 105.1 | 0.95× | | [P250 \| Steel Disruption (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-steel-disruption-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1.28 2.56 coins | 10.5% | 89 | 105.1 | 0.85× | | [SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.5% | 256 | 262.8 | 0.97× | | [MAG-7 \| Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-rust-coat-factory-new) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.1% | 271 | 262.8 | 1.03× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=hollow) [AK-47 | Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) Hidden $1.36 2.71 coins $3.12 6.23 coins 2.30x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [Tec-9 | Cut Out (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-field-tested) [Greg](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Greg) $1.36 2.71 coins $1.82 3.63 coins 1.34x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-battlestar-field-tested) Hidden $1.36 2.71 coins $2.78 5.55 coins 2.05x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-field-tested) Hidden $1.36 2.71 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [AK-47 | Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) Hidden $1.36 2.71 coins $3.12 6.23 coins 2.30x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [AK-47 | Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) Hidden $1.36 2.71 coins $3.12 6.23 coins 2.30x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-field-tested) Hidden $1.36 2.71 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-field-tested) Hidden $1.36 2.71 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-field-tested) Hidden $1.36 2.71 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC [AK-47 | Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) [Greg](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Greg) $1.36 2.71 coins $3.12 6.23 coins 2.30x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.36 | 89.85% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed mil spec 40.0% covert 10.0% milspec 25.0% Consumer Grade 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.85 on average: an expected loss of $10.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt