--- title: "Holo Printer case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Holo Printer ($129.84) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 81.33% over 1,488 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/holo-printer rendered: 2026-11-11T13:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Holo Printer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/holo-printer) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Holo Printer A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/holo-printer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/holo-printer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/holo-printer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/holo-printer?window=all) Price · $129.84 · 260 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $116.85 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.33% · 1,488 openings, odds method Variance · 37.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 83.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 68.01% ±102.20 136 openings 7 days · 82.35% ±31.81 1,404 openings 30 days · 81.33% ±30.90 1,488 openings since tracking started · 81.33% ±30.90 1,488 openings -0.5% 85.3% 171.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/holo-printer?window=24h) | 136 | 68.01% ±102.2 | −0.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/holo-printer?window=7d) | 1,404 | 82.35% ±31.8 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/holo-printer) | 1,488 | 81.33% ±30.9 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/holo-printer?window=all) | 1,488 | 81.33% ±30.9 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,488 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 10,000 | $72.4K 144,822 coins | 6.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 667 | $5,306 10,611 coins | 6.8% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× | | [Sticker \| Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $2,539 5,078 coins | 10.9% | 8 | 7.4 | 1.08× | | [Sticker \| Fnatic (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $1,437 2,874 coins | 12.3% | 13 | 14.9 | 0.87× | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $462 923 coins | 7.9% | 31 | 29.8 | 1.04× | | [Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $393 786 coins | 13.4% | 67 | 59.5 | 1.13× | | [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $311 623 coins | 10.7% | 56 | 59.5 | 0.94× | | [Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-mudder-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $188 376 coins | 8.0% | 76 | 74.4 | 1.02× | | [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Graven (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · SMGs](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-graven-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $99.36 199 coins | 4.3% | 69 | 74.4 | 0.93× | | [MAC-10 \| Copper Borre (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-copper-borre-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $76.16 152 coins | 3.5% | 70 | 79.5 | 0.88× | | [Souvenir MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-gold-brick-factory-new) | 10.0% | $52.80 106 coins | 4.5% | 138 | 148.8 | 0.93× | | [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 10.0% | $45.11 90.22 coins | 3.9% | 168 | 148.8 | 1.13× | | [MAC-10 \| Propaganda (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-factory-new) | 10.0% | $27.81 55.62 coins | 2.4% | 149 | 148.8 | 1.00× | | [MAC-10 \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 12.0% | $22.29 44.58 coins | 2.3% | 184 | 178.6 | 1.03× | | [MAC-10 \| Tornado (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tornado-factory-new) | 15.0% | $12.11 24.21 coins | 1.6% | 216 | 223.2 | 0.97× | | [MAC-10 \| Commuter (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-commuter-factory-new) | 16.0% | $10.58 21.16 coins | 1.4% | 242 | 238.1 | 1.02× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $130 260 coins $5,306 10,611 coins 40.86x 2026-11-07 12:55 UTC [Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $130 260 coins $2,539 5,078 coins 19.56x 2026-11-10 12:27 UTC [Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $130 260 coins $2,539 5,078 coins 19.56x 2026-11-09 20:25 UTC [Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $130 260 coins $2,539 5,078 coins 19.56x 2026-11-09 15:08 UTC [Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $130 260 coins $2,539 5,078 coins 19.56x 2026-11-09 15:08 UTC [Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $130 260 coins $2,539 5,078 coins 19.56x 2026-11-06 22:53 UTC [Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo-katowice-2014) [insane67](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/insane67) $130 260 coins $2,539 5,078 coins 19.56x 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC [Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $130 260 coins $2,539 5,078 coins 19.56x 2026-11-05 20:18 UTC [Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $130 260 coins $2,539 5,078 coins 19.56x 2026-11-05 12:00 UTC [Sticker | Fnatic (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $130 260 coins $1,437 2,874 coins 11.07x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=holo-printer) [MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) Hidden $130 260 coins $45.11 90.22 coins 0.35x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) Hidden $130 260 coins $45.11 90.22 coins 0.35x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [MAC-10 | Tornado (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tornado-factory-new) Hidden $130 260 coins $12.11 24.21 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [Souvenir Desert Eagle | Mudder (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-mudder-factory-new) Hidden $130 260 coins $188 376 coins 1.45x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) Hidden $130 260 coins $45.11 90.22 coins 0.35x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [MAC-10 | Propaganda (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-factory-new) Hidden $130 260 coins $27.81 55.62 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $130 260 coins $22.29 44.58 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [Souvenir Desert Eagle | Mudder (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-mudder-factory-new) [nigxoo](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/nigxoo) $130 260 coins $188 376 coins 1.45x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [Souvenir Desert Eagle | Mudder (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-mudder-factory-new) Hidden $130 260 coins $188 376 coins 1.45x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $130 260 coins $462 923 coins 3.55x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $130 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.2% remarkable 1.5% rare 2.0% classified 18.0% Industrial 5.0% SMGs 5.0% mil spec 5.3% restricted 10.0% covert 10.0% #4b69ff 12.0% consumer 15.0% industrial 16.0% best hit $5,306 (40.86x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt