--- title: "Huntsman case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Huntsman ($11.17) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.96% from 8 items with odds, observed 78.68% over 397 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/huntsman rendered: 2026-11-11T21:31Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Huntsman](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/huntsman) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Huntsman A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/huntsman?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/huntsman?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/huntsman) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/huntsman?window=all) Price · $11.17 · 22.33 coins Advertised RTP · 89.96% · EV $10.04 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.68% · 397 openings, odds method Variance · 2.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 14.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 76.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 74.03% ±26.35 162 openings 7 days · 78.37% ±17.58 364 openings 30 days · 78.68% ±16.83 397 openings since tracking started · 78.68% ±16.83 397 openings 47.0% 74.0% 101.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/huntsman?window=24h) | 162 | 74.03% ±26.3 | −1.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/huntsman?window=7d) | 364 | 78.37% ±17.6 | −1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/huntsman) | 397 | 78.68% ±16.8 | −1.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/huntsman?window=all) | 397 | 78.68% ±16.8 | −1.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 397 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 1,000 | $354 708 coins | 3.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $175 351 coins | 8.7% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× | | [USP-S \| Caiman (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $40.22 80.43 coins | 13.6% | 10 | 13.5 | 0.74× | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 10.0% | $26.89 53.78 coins | 26.8% | 47 | 39.7 | 1.18× | | [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $21.81 43.62 coins | 21.7% | 39 | 39.7 | 0.98× | | [M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-battlestar-factory-new) | 10.0% | $7.55 15.09 coins | 7.5% | 26 | 39.7 | 0.65× | | [Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-factory-new) | 16.0% | $5.04 10.08 coins | 8.0% | 72 | 63.5 | 1.13× | | [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-factory-new) | 50.0% | $2.03 4.06 coins | 10.1% | 203 | 198.5 | 1.02× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=huntsman) [AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.17 22.33 coins $21.81 43.62 coins 1.95x 2026-11-11 18:18 UTC [M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-battlestar-factory-new) Hidden $11.17 22.33 coins $7.55 15.09 coins 0.68x 2026-11-11 18:18 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-factory-new) Hidden $11.17 22.33 coins $2.03 4.06 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 18:18 UTC [Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-factory-new) Hidden $11.17 22.33 coins $5.04 10.08 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 18:18 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-factory-new) Hidden $11.17 22.33 coins $2.03 4.06 coins 0.18x 2026-11-10 23:16 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-factory-new) Hidden $11.17 22.33 coins $2.03 4.06 coins 0.18x 2026-11-10 23:16 UTC [AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-minimal-wear) [Apex5887](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Apex5887) $11.17 22.33 coins $21.81 43.62 coins 1.95x 2026-11-10 23:16 UTC [AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.17 22.33 coins $21.81 43.62 coins 1.95x 2026-11-10 23:16 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-factory-new) Hidden $11.17 22.33 coins $2.03 4.06 coins 0.18x 2026-11-10 23:16 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-factory-new) Hidden $11.17 22.33 coins $2.03 4.06 coins 0.18x 2026-11-10 23:16 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $11.17 | 89.96% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 20.1% #ffd700 0.5% classified 29.4% restricted 50.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.96 on average: an expected loss of $10.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt