--- title: "Hush case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Hush ($18.51) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 9 items with odds, observed 54.87% over 8 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hush rendered: 2026-11-11T13:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Hush](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hush) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Hush A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hush?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hush?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hush) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hush?window=all) Price · $18.51 · 37.01 coins Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $16.65 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 54.87% · 8 openings, odds method Variance · 0.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 44.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 8 openings · below min since tracking started · 8 openings · below min 17.0% 55.0% 93.0% **Small sample.** 8 openings and 3.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hush?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hush?window=7d) | 8 | 54.87% ±37.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hush) | 8 | 54.87% ±37.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hush?window=all) | 8 | 54.87% ±37.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Caiman (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-caiman-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $73.78 148 coins | 4.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $48.70 97.39 coins | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 14.0% | $29.87 59.74 coins | 25.1% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× | | [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 14.0% | $18.27 36.53 coins | 15.4% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 14.0% | $18.18 36.35 coins | 15.3% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-field-tested) | 14.0% | $17.02 34.04 coins | 14.3% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 14.0% | $14.61 29.21 coins | 12.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× | | [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-field-tested) | 14.0% | $6.19 12.37 coins | 5.2% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.68× | | [USP-S \| Para Green (Field-Tested) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-para-green-field-tested) | 14.0% | $6.07 12.13 coins | 5.1% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.68× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=hush) [M4A1-S | Control Panel (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-field-tested) Hidden $18.51 37.01 coins $6.19 12.37 coins 0.33x 2026-11-10 10:35 UTC [M4A1-S | Control Panel (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-field-tested) Hidden $18.51 37.01 coins $6.19 12.37 coins 0.33x 2026-11-10 10:35 UTC [M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $18.51 37.01 coins $14.61 29.21 coins 0.79x 2026-11-10 10:35 UTC [USP-S | Para Green (Field-Tested) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-para-green-field-tested) [Merleben](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Merleben) $18.51 37.01 coins $6.07 12.13 coins 0.33x 2026-11-10 10:35 UTC [USP-S | Para Green (Field-Tested) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-para-green-field-tested) Hidden $18.51 37.01 coins $6.07 12.13 coins 0.33x 2026-11-10 10:35 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) Hidden $18.51 37.01 coins $29.87 59.74 coins 1.61x 2026-11-10 10:35 UTC [USP-S | Para Green (Field-Tested) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-para-green-field-tested) Hidden $18.51 37.01 coins $6.07 12.13 coins 0.33x 2026-11-10 10:35 UTC [M4A1-S | Control Panel (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-field-tested) Hidden $18.51 37.01 coins $6.19 12.37 coins 0.33x 2026-11-10 10:35 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $18.51 | 89.98% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 2 14.0% classified 1.0% restricted 29.0% covert 42.0% pink 14.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt