--- title: "Hyperdrive case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Hyperdrive ($29.08) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 8 items with odds, observed 102.92% over 32 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hyperdrive rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Hyperdrive](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hyperdrive) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Hyperdrive A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hyperdrive?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hyperdrive?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hyperdrive) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hyperdrive?window=all) Price · $29.08 · 58.16 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $26.17 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 102.92% · 32 openings, odds method Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 21.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 58.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 14 openings · below min 30 days · 32 openings · below min since tracking started · 32 openings · below min -0.5% 73.5% 147.5% **Small sample.** 32 openings and 6.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hyperdrive?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hyperdrive?window=7d) | 14 | 62.19% ±66.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hyperdrive) | 32 | 102.92% ±44.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hyperdrive?window=all) | 32 | 102.92% ±44.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 32 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,252 2,504 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,252 2,504 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Survival Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $91.87 184 coins | 19.3% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.70× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $87.89 176 coins | 20.2% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.04× | | [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-factory-new) | 10.0% | $56.28 113 coins | 21.5% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.63× | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Guerrilla (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-guerrilla-field-tested) | 10.0% | $51.00 102 coins | 19.5% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.63× | | [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-field-tested) | 10.0% | $48.62 97.23 coins | 18.6% | 6 | 3.2 | 1.88× | | [MAG-7 \| Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-rust-coat-factory-new) | 58.5% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 17 | 18.7 | 0.91× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=hyperdrive) [MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-rust-coat-factory-new) Hidden $29.08 58.16 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 17:59 UTC [MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-rust-coat-factory-new) Hidden $29.08 58.16 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 17:59 UTC [MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-rust-coat-factory-new) Hidden $29.08 58.16 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 17:59 UTC [★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-guerrilla-field-tested) Hidden $29.08 58.16 coins $51.00 102 coins 1.75x 2026-11-07 17:59 UTC [Desert Eagle | Pilot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-field-tested) Hidden $29.08 58.16 coins $48.62 97.23 coins 1.67x 2026-11-07 17:59 UTC [Desert Eagle | Pilot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-field-tested) Hidden $29.08 58.16 coins $48.62 97.23 coins 1.67x 2026-11-07 17:59 UTC [MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-rust-coat-factory-new) Hidden $29.08 58.16 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 17:59 UTC [Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-factory-new) [majin](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/majin) $29.08 58.16 coins $56.28 113 coins 1.94x 2026-11-07 17:59 UTC [MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-rust-coat-factory-new) Hidden $29.08 58.16 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 19:48 UTC [Desert Eagle | Pilot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-field-tested) Hidden $29.08 58.16 coins $48.62 97.23 coins 1.67x 2026-11-06 19:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $29.08 | 89.99% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% covert 6.0% gold 15.5% restricted 20.0% Consumer Grade 58.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt