---
title: "I AM STEVE case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "I AM STEVE ($70.92) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 82.88% over 913 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/i-am-steve
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:17Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [I AM STEVE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/i-am-steve)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · I AM STEVE

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/i-am-steve?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/i-am-steve?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/i-am-steve) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/i-am-steve?window=all)

Price · $70.92 · 142 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $63.83 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 82.88% · 913 openings, odds method

Variance · 12.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 40 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 89.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 58 openings · below min

7 days · 89.77% ±34.03 425 openings

30 days · 82.88% ±23.21 913 openings

since tracking started · 82.88% ±23.21 913 openings

-0.5% 72.8% 146.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/i-am-steve?window=24h) | 58 | 53.46% ±92.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/i-am-steve?window=7d) | 425 | 89.77% ±34.0 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/i-am-steve) | 913 | 82.88% ±23.2 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/i-am-steve?window=all) | 913 | 82.88% ±23.2 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 937 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,086 6,171 coins | 4.8% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Sticker \| Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 588 | $2,539 5,078 coins | 6.8% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 455 | $2,295 4,590 coins | 7.9% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.97× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 385 | $1,876 3,752 coins | 7.6% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.23× |
| [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 323 | $1,501 3,002 coins | 7.3% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.03× |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 270 | $1,266 2,533 coins | 7.3% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.87× |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-battle-scarred) | 1 in 250 | $1,002 2,005 coins | 6.3% | 8 | 3.7 | 2.13× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 151 | $751 1,501 coins | 7.8% | 2 | 6.2 | 0.32× |
| [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $501 1,002 coins | 7.8% | 14 | 9.4 | 1.49× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $376 752 coins | 8.8% | 13 | 14.1 | 0.92× |
| [Souvenir USP-S \| Royal Blue (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $250 500 coins | 7.8% | 18 | 18.7 | 0.96× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $125 251 coins | 6.9% | 34 | 32.8 | 1.04× |
| [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Groundwater (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-groundwater-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $50.13 100 coins | 3.9% | 48 | 46.9 | 1.02× |
| [M4A4 \| Modern Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-modern-hunter-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $25.41 50.82 coins | 2.0% | 48 | 46.9 | 1.02× |
| [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $12.52 25.03 coins | 1.0% | 40 | 46.9 | 0.85× |
| [P2000 \| Coach Class (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-coach-class-field-tested) | 74.5% | $5.03 10.05 coins | 5.9% | 701 | 698.1 | 1.00× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $70.92 142 coins $2,295 4,590 coins 32.36x 2026-11-07 14:12 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $70.92 142 coins $2,295 4,590 coins 32.36x 2026-11-02 23:25 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $70.92 142 coins $1,876 3,752 coins 26.45x 2026-11-04 20:53 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $70.92 142 coins $1,876 3,752 coins 26.45x 2026-11-03 01:16 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $70.92 142 coins $1,876 3,752 coins 26.45x 2026-11-02 21:53 UTC

[Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) Hidden $70.92 142 coins $1,501 3,002 coins 21.16x 2026-11-06 13:59 UTC

[Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) Hidden $70.92 142 coins $1,501 3,002 coins 21.16x 2026-11-04 21:30 UTC

[Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) Hidden $70.92 142 coins $1,501 3,002 coins 21.16x 2026-11-03 18:42 UTC

[Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) Hidden $70.92 142 coins $1,266 2,533 coins 17.86x 2026-11-08 21:21 UTC

[Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) Hidden $70.92 142 coins $1,266 2,533 coins 17.86x 2026-11-04 18:48 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=i-am-steve)

[★ Flip Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-stained-field-tested) Hidden $70.92 142 coins $125 251 coins 1.77x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC

[Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $70.92 142 coins $501 1,002 coins 7.06x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC

[P2000 | Coach Class (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-coach-class-field-tested) Hidden $70.92 142 coins $5.03 10.05 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC

[Souvenir Glock-18 | Groundwater (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-groundwater-factory-new) Hidden $70.92 142 coins $50.13 100 coins 0.71x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC

[P2000 | Coach Class (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-coach-class-field-tested) Hidden $70.92 142 coins $5.03 10.05 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC

[P2000 | Coach Class (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-coach-class-field-tested) Hidden $70.92 142 coins $5.03 10.05 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC

[P2000 | Coach Class (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-coach-class-field-tested) Hidden $70.92 142 coins $5.03 10.05 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC

[P2000 | Coach Class (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-coach-class-field-tested) [EliteRift1189](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/EliteRift1189) $70.92 142 coins $5.03 10.05 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-forest-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $70.92 142 coins $751 1,501 coins 10.58x 2026-11-11 18:18 UTC

[P2000 | Coach Class (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-coach-class-field-tested) Hidden $70.92 142 coins $5.03 10.05 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 18:18 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $70.92 | 90.00% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 5.2% remarkable 0.2% other 0.7% Covert 1.0% covert knife 1.5% industrial 2.0% Industrial Grade 5.0% restricted 5.0% mil spec 5.0% Uncommon 74.5% best hit $2,295 (32.36x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt