--- title: "Immortal case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Immortal ($18,331.04) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 2 items with odds, observed 140.63% over 24 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/immortal rendered: 2026-11-12T07:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/immortal) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Immortal A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/immortal?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/immortal?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/immortal) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/immortal?window=all) Price · $18,331.04 · 36,662 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $16,497.93 from 2 items Observed RTP, 30d · 140.63% · 24 openings, odds method Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 40.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 24 openings · below min 7 days · 24 openings · below min 30 days · 24 openings · below min since tracking started · 24 openings · below min 89.5% 137.5% 185.5% **Small sample.** 24 openings and 9.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/immortal?window=24h) | 24 | 140.63% ±44.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/immortal?window=7d) | 24 | 140.63% ±44.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/immortal) | 24 | 140.63% ±44.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/immortal?window=all) | 24 | 140.63% ±44.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 40.0% | $41.2K 82,490 coins | 100.0% | 15 | 9.6 | 1.56× | | [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 60.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 9 | 14.4 | 0.63× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.3K 36,662 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 2.25x 2026-11-12 04:15 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) [insane67](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/insane67) $18.3K 36,662 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 2.25x 2026-11-12 04:15 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.3K 36,662 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 2.25x 2026-11-12 04:15 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.3K 36,662 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 2.25x 2026-11-12 04:15 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.3K 36,662 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 2.25x 2026-11-12 04:15 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.3K 36,662 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 2.25x 2026-11-12 04:15 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.3K 36,662 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 2.25x 2026-11-12 04:14 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.3K 36,662 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 2.25x 2026-11-12 04:14 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.3K 36,662 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 2.25x 2026-11-12 04:14 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.3K 36,662 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 2.25x 2026-11-12 04:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=immortal) [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $18.3K 36,662 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:15 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.3K 36,662 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 2.25x 2026-11-12 04:15 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.3K 36,662 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 2.25x 2026-11-12 04:15 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.3K 36,662 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 2.25x 2026-11-12 04:15 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.3K 36,662 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 2.25x 2026-11-12 04:15 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.3K 36,662 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 2.25x 2026-11-12 04:15 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $18.3K 36,662 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:15 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) [insane67](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/insane67) $18.3K 36,662 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 2.25x 2026-11-12 04:15 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $18.3K 36,662 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 2.25x 2026-11-12 04:14 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $18.3K 36,662 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:14 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $18.3K | 90.00% | 2 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 40.0% #4b69ff 60.0% best hit $41.2K (2.25x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt