--- title: "Imperial Save case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Imperial Save ($1.61) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.95% from 5 items with odds, observed 97.82% over 3,682 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/imperial-save rendered: 2026-11-11T17:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Imperial Save](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/imperial-save) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Imperial Save A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/imperial-save?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/imperial-save?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/imperial-save) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/imperial-save?window=all) Price · $1.61 · 3.22 coins Advertised RTP · 89.95% · EV $1.45 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.82% · 3,682 openings, odds method Variance · 95.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 64.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 74.61% ±105.94 328 openings 7 days · 111.73% ±37.18 2,663 openings 30 days · 97.82% ±31.62 3,682 openings since tracking started · 97.82% ±31.62 3,682 openings -0.5% 90.3% 181.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/imperial-save?window=24h) | 328 | 74.61% ±105.9 | −0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/imperial-save?window=7d) | 2,663 | 111.73% ±37.2 | +1.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/imperial-save) | 3,682 | 97.82% ±31.6 | +0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/imperial-save?window=all) | 3,682 | 97.82% ±31.6 | +0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,682 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,385 2,771 coins | 9.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $235 470 coins | 16.2% | 2 | 3.7 | 0.54× | | [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-factory-new) | 10.0% | $5.17 10.34 coins | 35.7% | 365 | 368.2 | 0.99× | | [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 25.0% | $1.66 3.32 coins | 28.7% | 922 | 920.5 | 1.00× | | [P2000 \| Imperial (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-factory-new) | 64.9% | $0.22 0.44 coins | 9.9% | 2,392 | 2389.2 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) Hidden $1.61 3.22 coins $1,385 2,771 coins 860.4x 2026-11-05 02:41 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-field-tested) Hidden $1.61 3.22 coins $235 470 coins 145.9x 2026-11-08 10:59 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-field-tested) Hidden $1.61 3.22 coins $235 470 coins 145.9x 2026-11-05 03:21 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=imperial-save) [P2000 | Imperial (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-factory-new) Hidden $1.61 3.22 coins $0.22 0.44 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [P2000 | Imperial (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-factory-new) Hidden $1.61 3.22 coins $0.22 0.44 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [P2000 | Imperial (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-factory-new) [eliboti](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/eliboti) $1.61 3.22 coins $0.22 0.44 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [P2000 | Imperial (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-factory-new) Hidden $1.61 3.22 coins $0.22 0.44 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) Hidden $1.61 3.22 coins $1.66 3.32 coins 1.03x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [P2000 | Imperial (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-factory-new) [eliboti](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/eliboti) $1.61 3.22 coins $0.22 0.44 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [P2000 | Imperial (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-factory-new) Hidden $1.61 3.22 coins $0.22 0.44 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC [P2000 | Imperial (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-factory-new) Hidden $1.61 3.22 coins $0.22 0.44 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC [P2000 | Imperial (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-factory-new) Hidden $1.61 3.22 coins $0.22 0.44 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC [P2000 | Imperial (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-factory-new) Hidden $1.61 3.22 coins $0.22 0.44 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.61 | 89.95% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.0% extraordinary 0.1% classified 35.0% mil spec 64.9% best hit $1,385 (860.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.95 on average: an expected loss of $10.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt