---
title: "In the Jungle case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "In the Jungle ($31.12) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.01% from 16 items with odds, observed 85.35% over 1,645 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/in-the-jungle
rendered: 2026-11-11T23:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [In the Jungle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/in-the-jungle)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · In the Jungle

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/in-the-jungle?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/in-the-jungle?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/in-the-jungle) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/in-the-jungle?window=all)

Price · $31.12 · 62.24 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.01% · EV $28.01 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.35% · 1,645 openings, odds method

Variance · 58.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 167 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 76 openings · below min

7 days · 64.65% ±41.46 1,303 openings

30 days · 85.35% ±36.90 1,645 openings

since tracking started · 85.35% ±36.90 1,645 openings

-0.5% 106.3% 213.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/in-the-jungle?window=24h) | 76 | 40.62% ±171.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/in-the-jungle?window=7d) | 1,303 | 64.65% ±41.5 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/in-the-jungle) | 1,645 | 85.35% ±36.9 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/in-the-jungle?window=all) | 1,645 | 85.35% ±36.9 | −0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,645 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,389 12,778 coins | 22.8% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.22× |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,757 3,515 coins | 31.4% | 5 | 8.2 | 0.61× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Overgrowth (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-overgrowth-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $168 335 coins | 9.0% | 22 | 24.7 | 0.89× |
| [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $88.80 178 coins | 11.1% | 69 | 57.6 | 1.20× |
| [M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $71.01 142 coins | 11.2% | 74 | 72.4 | 1.02× |
| [SSG 08 \| Tropical Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-tropical-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $26.46 52.92 coins | 4.7% | 87 | 82.3 | 1.06× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Jungle (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-jungle-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $17.64 35.28 coins | 3.1% | 87 | 82.3 | 1.06× |
| [XM1014 \| Jungle (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-jungle-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $11.49 22.98 coins | 2.1% | 95 | 82.3 | 1.16× |
| [M249 \| Jungle DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-jungle-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $11.24 22.47 coins | 2.0% | 85 | 82.3 | 1.03× |
| [SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-jungle-dashed-factory-new) | 10.0% | $2.21 4.42 coins | 0.8% | 139 | 164.5 | 0.84× |
| [M249 \| Jungle (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-jungle-factory-new) | 10.0% | $2.03 4.05 coins | 0.7% | 163 | 164.5 | 0.99× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Jungle Thicket (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-jungle-thicket-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1.88 3.75 coins | 0.7% | 171 | 164.5 | 1.04× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Jungle Dashed (Factory New) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-jungle-dashed-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.91 1.82 coins | 0.3% | 155 | 164.5 | 0.94× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.23 0.47 coins | 0.1% | 174 | 164.5 | 1.06× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.13 0.26 coins | 0.0% | 151 | 164.5 | 0.92× |
| [G3SG1 \| Jungle Dashed (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-jungle-dashed-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.09 0.17 coins | 0.0% | 166 | 164.5 | 1.01× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $31.12 62.24 coins $6,389 12,778 coins 205.3x 2026-11-08 15:13 UTC

[Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $31.12 62.24 coins $6,389 12,778 coins 205.3x 2026-11-03 17:30 UTC

[M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $31.12 62.24 coins $1,757 3,515 coins 56.47x 2026-11-07 01:38 UTC

[M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $31.12 62.24 coins $1,757 3,515 coins 56.47x 2026-11-04 11:59 UTC

[M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $31.12 62.24 coins $1,757 3,515 coins 56.47x 2026-11-04 03:24 UTC

[M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $31.12 62.24 coins $1,757 3,515 coins 56.47x 2026-11-03 17:12 UTC

[M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $31.12 62.24 coins $1,757 3,515 coins 56.47x 2026-11-03 13:40 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=in-the-jungle)

[M4A4 | Jungle Tiger (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $31.12 62.24 coins $71.01 142 coins 2.28x 2026-11-11 21:14 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Jungle (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $31.12 62.24 coins $17.64 35.28 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 21:14 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) Hidden $31.12 62.24 coins $0.23 0.47 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:14 UTC

[XM1014 | Jungle (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $31.12 62.24 coins $11.49 22.98 coins 0.37x 2026-11-11 21:14 UTC

[SSG 08 | Tropical Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-tropical-storm-factory-new) Hidden $31.12 62.24 coins $26.46 52.92 coins 0.85x 2026-11-11 21:14 UTC

[SSG 08 | Tropical Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-tropical-storm-factory-new) Hidden $31.12 62.24 coins $26.46 52.92 coins 0.85x 2026-11-11 21:14 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Jungle (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $31.12 62.24 coins $17.64 35.28 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 21:14 UTC

[M249 | Jungle (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $31.12 62.24 coins $2.03 4.05 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 21:14 UTC

[G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-jungle-dashed-factory-new) Hidden $31.12 62.24 coins $0.09 0.17 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:17 UTC

[SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-jungle-dashed-factory-new) [eliboti](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/eliboti) $31.12 62.24 coins $2.21 4.42 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 17:17 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $31.12 | 90.01% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% legendary 0.5% Restricted 1.5% industrial 12.9% Consumer Grade 5.0% consumer 40.0% Common 10.0% gray 10.0% blue 10.0% Rare 10.0% best hit $6,389 (205.3x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.01 on average: an expected loss of $9.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt