--- title: "Industrial Core case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Industrial Core ($44.88) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 56.22% over 192 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/industrial-core rendered: 2026-11-11T14:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Industrial Core](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/industrial-core) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Industrial Core A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/industrial-core?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/industrial-core?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/industrial-core) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/industrial-core?window=all) Price · $44.88 · 89.76 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $40.39 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 56.22% · 192 openings, odds method Variance · 8.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 54 openings · below min 7 days · 59.47% ±43.70 176 openings 30 days · 56.22% ±41.84 192 openings since tracking started · 56.22% ±41.84 192 openings 7.5% 87.0% 166.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/industrial-core?window=24h) | 54 | 86.83% ±78.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/industrial-core?window=7d) | 176 | 59.47% ±43.7 | −1.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/industrial-core) | 192 | 56.22% ±41.8 | −1.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/industrial-core?window=all) | 192 | 56.22% ±41.8 | −1.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 192 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Leather (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $607 1,214 coins | 15.0% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.52× | | [Charm \| Lil' Monster charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-monster) | 1 in 100 | $606 1,211 coins | 15.0% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $579 1,159 coins | 14.3% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.08× | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $555 1,110 coins | 13.7% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× | | [Charm \| Lil' Sandy charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sandy) | 1 in 100 | $530 1,060 coins | 13.1% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.52× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 100 | $506 1,012 coins | 12.5% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× | | [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) | 15.0% | $21.68 43.36 coins | 8.1% | 36 | 28.8 | 1.25× | | [P2000 \| Pathfinder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pathfinder-factory-new) | 15.0% | $11.65 23.3 coins | 4.3% | 27 | 28.8 | 0.94× | | [P90 \| Tiger Pit (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-tiger-pit-factory-new) | 15.0% | $7.11 14.22 coins | 2.6% | 28 | 28.8 | 0.97× | | [Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) | 49.0% | $1.01 2.02 coins | 1.2% | 95 | 94.1 | 1.01× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Hand Wraps | Leather (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-factory-new) [KocvreKK](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/KocvreKK) $44.88 89.76 coins $607 1,214 coins 13.53x 2026-11-10 16:17 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [KocvreKK](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/KocvreKK) $44.88 89.76 coins $579 1,159 coins 12.91x 2026-11-10 16:16 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $44.88 89.76 coins $579 1,159 coins 12.91x 2026-11-10 16:14 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $44.88 89.76 coins $579 1,159 coins 12.91x 2026-11-06 00:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [Tx415151](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Tx415151) $44.88 89.76 coins $579 1,159 coins 12.91x 2026-11-05 23:24 UTC [Charm | Lil' Sandy charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sandy) Hidden $44.88 89.76 coins $530 1,060 coins 11.81x 2026-11-07 03:55 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=industrial-core) [Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) Hidden $44.88 89.76 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 16:17 UTC [Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) Hidden $44.88 89.76 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 16:17 UTC [Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) Hidden $44.88 89.76 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 16:17 UTC [P2000 | Pathfinder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pathfinder-factory-new) [KocvreKK](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/KocvreKK) $44.88 89.76 coins $11.65 23.3 coins 0.26x 2026-11-10 16:17 UTC [Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) Hidden $44.88 89.76 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 16:17 UTC [P90 | Tiger Pit (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-tiger-pit-factory-new) Hidden $44.88 89.76 coins $7.11 14.22 coins 0.16x 2026-11-10 16:17 UTC [Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) Hidden $44.88 89.76 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 16:17 UTC [P2000 | Pathfinder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pathfinder-factory-new) [KocvreKK](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/KocvreKK) $44.88 89.76 coins $11.65 23.3 coins 0.26x 2026-11-10 16:17 UTC [Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) Hidden $44.88 89.76 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 16:17 UTC [Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) Hidden $44.88 89.76 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 16:17 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $44.88 | 89.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 1.0% uncommon 2.0% epic 1.0% covert 17.0% industrial 15.0% Rare 15.0% restricted 49.0% best hit $607 (13.53x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt