--- title: "Inked Web case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Inked Web ($7.14) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.95% from 8 items with odds, observed 82.00% over 1,743 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/inked-web rendered: 2026-11-11T16:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Inked Web](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/inked-web) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Inked Web A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/inked-web?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/inked-web?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/inked-web) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/inked-web?window=all) Price · $7.14 · 14.28 coins Advertised RTP · 89.95% · EV $6.42 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.00% · 1,743 openings, odds method Variance · 22.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 21.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 79.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 81.64% ±58.08 258 openings 7 days · 81.77% ±26.74 1,217 openings 30 days · 82.00% ±22.35 1,743 openings since tracking started · 82.00% ±22.35 1,743 openings 23.0% 81.8% 140.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/inked-web?window=24h) | 258 | 81.64% ±58.1 | −0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/inked-web?window=7d) | 1,217 | 81.77% ±26.7 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/inked-web) | 1,743 | 82.00% ±22.3 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/inked-web?window=all) | 1,743 | 82.00% ±22.3 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,743 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,877 5,753 coins | 4.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,018 2,037 coins | 4.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [FAMAS \| Meltdown (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meltdown-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $18.84 37.68 coins | 26.4% | 168 | 156.9 | 1.07× | | [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-factory-new) | 12.0% | $10.42 20.83 coins | 19.5% | 195 | 209.2 | 0.93× | | [Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-factory-new) | 16.0% | $6.70 13.4 coins | 16.7% | 280 | 278.9 | 1.00× | | [MAG-7 \| Storm (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-storm-factory-new) | 19.0% | $3.53 7.05 coins | 10.4% | 325 | 331.2 | 0.98× | | [P250 \| Muertos (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $3.21 6.41 coins | 10.0% | 330 | 348.6 | 0.95× | | [P2000 \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-field-tested) | 24.0% | $2.09 4.18 coins | 7.8% | 445 | 417.6 | 1.07× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=inked-web) [Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-factory-new) Hidden $7.14 14.28 coins $6.70 13.4 coins 0.94x 2026-11-11 14:14 UTC [P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.14 14.28 coins $3.21 6.41 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 14:14 UTC [SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-factory-new) Hidden $7.14 14.28 coins $10.42 20.83 coins 1.46x 2026-11-11 14:14 UTC [P2000 | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $7.14 14.28 coins $2.09 4.18 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 14:14 UTC [MAG-7 | Storm (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-storm-factory-new) Hidden $7.14 14.28 coins $3.53 7.05 coins 0.49x 2026-11-11 14:14 UTC [P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.14 14.28 coins $3.21 6.41 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 14:14 UTC [P2000 | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $7.14 14.28 coins $2.09 4.18 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 14:14 UTC [P2000 | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-field-tested) [BG2x](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BG2x) $7.14 14.28 coins $2.09 4.18 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 14:14 UTC [P2000 | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $7.14 14.28 coins $2.09 4.18 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 14:12 UTC [MAG-7 | Storm (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-storm-factory-new) Hidden $7.14 14.28 coins $3.53 7.05 coins 0.49x 2026-11-11 14:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $7.14 | 89.95% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.0% covert 0.0% classified 45.0% pink 12.0% Consumer Grade 19.0% Mythical 24.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.95 on average: an expected loss of $10.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt