--- title: "JellyBeans case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "JellyBeans ($370.31) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 79.06% over 604 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jellybeans rendered: 2026-11-11T13:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [JellyBeans](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jellybeans) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · JellyBeans A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jellybeans?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jellybeans?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jellybeans) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jellybeans?window=all) Price · $370.31 · 741 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $333.27 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 79.06% · 604 openings, odds method Variance · 18.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 96.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 72 openings · below min 7 days · 81.91% ±35.07 582 openings 30 days · 79.06% ±34.42 604 openings since tracking started · 79.06% ±34.42 604 openings -0.5% 77.0% 154.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jellybeans?window=24h) | 72 | 54.14% ±99.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jellybeans?window=7d) | 582 | 81.91% ±35.1 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jellybeans) | 604 | 79.06% ±34.4 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jellybeans?window=all) | 604 | 79.06% ±34.4 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 604 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $10.4K 20,866 coins | 15.7% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.66× | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $9,483 18,967 coins | 14.2% | 3 | 3.0 | 0.99× | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $8,862 17,724 coins | 13.3% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.32× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 200 | $8,347 16,693 coins | 12.5% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $7,714 15,428 coins | 11.6% | 3 | 3.0 | 0.99× | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 200 | $7,651 15,302 coins | 11.5% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.66× | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 200 | $5,893 11,786 coins | 8.8% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.32× | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 200 | $5,754 11,508 coins | 8.6% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.32× | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 50 | $183 367 coins | 1.1% | 8 | 12.1 | 0.66× | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 50 | $166 332 coins | 1.0% | 10 | 12.1 | 0.83× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $107 215 coins | 0.6% | 15 | 12.1 | 1.24× | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) weapon · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 50 | $44.59 89.17 coins | 0.3% | 15 | 12.1 | 1.24× | | [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $28.89 57.77 coins | 0.3% | 18 | 18.1 | 0.99× | | [SG 553 \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $25.16 50.31 coins | 0.3% | 26 | 24.2 | 1.08× | | [MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $5.23 10.45 coins | 0.1% | 37 | 30.2 | 1.23× | | [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 76.0% | $0.56 1.11 coins | 0.1% | 453 | 459.0 | 0.99× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $370 741 coins $10.4K 20,866 coins 28.17x 2026-11-09 15:16 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $370 741 coins $10.4K 20,866 coins 28.17x 2026-11-08 21:23 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $370 741 coins $9,483 18,967 coins 25.61x 2026-11-09 17:18 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $370 741 coins $9,483 18,967 coins 25.61x 2026-11-06 15:37 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $370 741 coins $9,483 18,967 coins 25.61x 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $370 741 coins $8,862 17,724 coins 23.93x 2026-11-10 12:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $370 741 coins $8,862 17,724 coins 23.93x 2026-11-06 06:58 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $370 741 coins $8,862 17,724 coins 23.93x 2026-11-05 19:02 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [ilovegoon](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/ilovegoon) $370 741 coins $8,862 17,724 coins 23.93x 2026-11-04 20:10 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $370 741 coins $7,714 15,428 coins 20.83x 2026-11-10 23:44 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=jellybeans) [MP9 | Food Chain (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-factory-new) Hidden $370 741 coins $5.23 10.45 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC [AK-47 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) Hidden $370 741 coins $0.56 1.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC [AK-47 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) Hidden $370 741 coins $0.56 1.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC [AK-47 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) Hidden $370 741 coins $0.56 1.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC [AK-47 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) Hidden $370 741 coins $0.56 1.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC [SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $370 741 coins $25.16 50.31 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC [AK-47 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) Hidden $370 741 coins $0.56 1.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC [AK-47 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) [nigxoo](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/nigxoo) $370 741 coins $0.56 1.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC [AK-47 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) Hidden $370 741 coins $0.56 1.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:47 UTC [AK-47 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) [Rubix](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Rubix) $370 741 coins $0.56 1.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:47 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $370 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 9.0% #EB4B4B 0.5% Knives 0.5% Immortal 2.0% classified 8.0% Rare 80.0% best hit $10.4K (28.17x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt