--- title: "Jonji case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Jonji ($28.95) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 8 items with odds, observed 72.91% over 308 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jonji rendered: 2026-11-11T23:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Jonji](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jonji) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Jonji A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jonji?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jonji?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jonji) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jonji?window=all) Price · $28.95 · 57.9 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $26.05 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 72.91% · 308 openings, odds method Variance · 12.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 40 openings · below min 7 days · 80.72% ±42.44 256 openings 30 days · 72.91% ±38.69 308 openings since tracking started · 72.91% ±38.69 308 openings 27.0% 135.0% 243.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jonji?window=24h) | 40 | 134.94% ±107.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jonji?window=7d) | 256 | 80.72% ±42.4 | −0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jonji) | 308 | 72.91% ±38.7 | −0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jonji?window=all) | 308 | 72.91% ±38.7 | −0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 308 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,860 3,720 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $544 1,087 coins | 8.3% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.81× | | [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $412 823 coins | 15.8% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.97× | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $301 602 coins | 46.2% | 10 | 12.3 | 0.81× | | [Five-SeveN \| Neon Kimono (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $181 361 coins | 13.9% | 5 | 6.2 | 0.81× | | [Five-SeveN \| Crimson Blossom (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $66.23 132 coins | 5.1% | 6 | 6.2 | 0.97× | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $44.66 89.32 coins | 3.4% | 9 | 6.2 | 1.46× | | [Tec-9 \| Army Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-battle-scarred) | 88.5% | $0.04 0.08 coins | 0.1% | 274 | 272.6 | 1.01× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) Hidden $28.95 57.9 coins $544 1,087 coins 18.78x 2026-11-10 08:36 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=jonji) [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.95 57.9 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:28 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.95 57.9 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:28 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.95 57.9 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:28 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.95 57.9 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:28 UTC [Five-SeveN | Neon Kimono (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $28.95 57.9 coins $181 361 coins 6.24x 2026-11-11 02:28 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.95 57.9 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:28 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.95 57.9 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:28 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.95 57.9 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:28 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.95 57.9 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:27 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.95 57.9 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $28.95 | 89.99% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #EB4B4B 0.1% extraordinary 0.4% covert knife 5.0% restricted 2.0% mil spec 2.0% red 2.0% consumer 88.5% best hit $544 (18.78x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt