---
title: "Juicer case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Juicer ($0.86) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.95% from 16 items with odds, observed 92.01% over 26.9K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/juicer
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:03Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Juicer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/juicer)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Juicer

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/juicer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/juicer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/juicer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/juicer?window=all)

Price · $0.86 · 1.72 coins

Advertised RTP · 89.95% · EV $0.77 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.01% · 26.9K openings, odds method

Variance · 7.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 94.21% ±10.77 2,351 openings

7 days · 93.31% ±3.50 22.3K openings

30 days · 92.01% ±3.19 26.9K openings

since tracking started · 92.01% ±3.19 26.9K openings

83.0% 94.2% 105.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/juicer?window=24h) | 2,351 | 94.21% ±10.8 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/juicer?window=7d) | 22.3K | 93.31% ±3.50 | +1.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/juicer) | 26.9K | 92.01% ±3.19 | +1.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/juicer?window=all) | 26.9K | 92.01% ±3.19 | +1.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 26.9K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Galil AR \| Dusk Ruins (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-dusk-ruins-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $9.47 18.94 coins | 12.2% | 270 | 268.7 | 1.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $8.39 16.78 coins | 10.8% | 295 | 268.7 | 1.10× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $8.39 16.77 coins | 10.8% | 273 | 268.7 | 1.02× |
| [AUG \| Colony (Factory New) weapon · Consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-colony-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $7.90 15.79 coins | 10.2% | 279 | 268.7 | 1.04× |
| [Tec-9 \| Blast From the Past (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blast-from-the-past-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $7.88 15.75 coins | 10.2% | 261 | 268.7 | 0.97× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $7.39 14.77 coins | 9.5% | 297 | 268.7 | 1.11× |
| [Tec-9 \| Isaac (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $7.38 14.76 coins | 9.5% | 260 | 268.7 | 0.97× |
| [UMP-45 \| Caramel (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-caramel-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $6.95 13.89 coins | 9.0% | 267 | 268.7 | 0.99× |
| [MP7 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $6.30 12.59 coins | 8.1% | 274 | 268.7 | 1.02× |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $5.77 11.53 coins | 7.5% | 272 | 268.7 | 1.01× |
| [UMP-45 \| Facility Dark (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-facility-dark-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $0.03 0.06 coins | 0.6% | 4,043 | 4030.2 | 1.00× |
| [Negev \| Army Sheen (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-army-sheen-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.5% | 3,978 | 4030.2 | 0.99× |
| [AUG \| Tom Cat (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-tom-cat-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.02 0.04 coins | 0.4% | 3,997 | 4030.2 | 0.99× |
| [MAC-10 \| Monkeyflage (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-monkeyflage-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.01 0.03 coins | 0.3% | 4,019 | 4030.2 | 1.00× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Contractor (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-contractor-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.2% | 3,997 | 4030.2 | 0.99× |
| [FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) | 15.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.1% | 4,086 | 4030.2 | 1.01× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=juicer)

[SCAR-20 | Contractor (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-contractor-factory-new) Hidden $0.86 1.72 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Contractor (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-contractor-factory-new) Hidden $0.86 1.72 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-facility-dark-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.86 1.72 coins $0.03 0.06 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Contractor (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-contractor-factory-new) Hidden $0.86 1.72 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[Negev | Army Sheen (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-army-sheen-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.86 1.72 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $0.86 1.72 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-monkeyflage-field-tested) Hidden $0.86 1.72 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[Negev | Army Sheen (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-army-sheen-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.86 1.72 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[Negev | Army Sheen (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-army-sheen-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.86 1.72 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Contractor (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-contractor-factory-new) Hidden $0.86 1.72 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.86 | 89.95% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #4b69ff 17.0% blue 1.0% classified 2.0% Consumer 1.0% red 1.0% mil spec 1.0% consumer 31.0% restricted 1.0% #B0C3D9 15.0% Mil Spec Grade 15.0% milspec 15.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.95 on average: an expected loss of $10.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt