--- title: "Jungle Night case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Jungle Night ($307.34) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 15 items with odds, observed 93.57% over 40 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jungle-night rendered: 2026-11-11T18:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Jungle Night](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jungle-night) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Jungle Night A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jungle-night?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jungle-night?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jungle-night) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jungle-night?window=all) Price · $307.34 · 615 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $276.60 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.57% · 40 openings, odds method Variance · 3.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 50.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 49.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 28 openings · below min 30 days · 40 openings · below min since tracking started · 40 openings · below min 26.0% 91.3% 156.5% **Small sample.** 40 openings and 20.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jungle-night?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jungle-night?window=7d) | 28 | 91.11% ±64.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jungle-night) | 40 | 93.57% ±54.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jungle-night?window=all) | 40 | 93.57% ±54.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 40 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $8,972 17,944 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $4,198 8,395 coins | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $2,955 5,910 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 333 | $2,844 5,688 coins | 3.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $2,169 4,338 coins | 3.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 250 | $2,156 4,312 coins | 3.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 250 | $1,935 3,870 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $1,880 3,759 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 250 | $1,816 3,632 coins | 2.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 250 | $1,814 3,629 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $1,805 3,610 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 250 | $1,796 3,591 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 250 | $1,788 3,576 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 46.0% | $377 753 coins | 62.6% | 20 | 18.4 | 1.09× | | [Negev \| Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) | 49.5% | $0.01 0.03 coins | 0.0% | 18 | 19.8 | 0.91× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) [prudent](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/prudent) $307 615 coins $2,156 4,312 coins 7.02x 2026-11-03 16:21 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $307 615 coins $1,816 3,632 coins 5.91x 2026-11-05 07:32 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=jungle-night) [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) Hidden $307 615 coins $377 753 coins 1.23x 2026-11-07 15:46 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) Hidden $307 615 coins $377 753 coins 1.23x 2026-11-07 15:46 UTC [Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) Hidden $307 615 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 15:46 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) Hidden $307 615 coins $377 753 coins 1.23x 2026-11-07 15:46 UTC [Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) Hidden $307 615 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 15:46 UTC [Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) Hidden $307 615 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 15:46 UTC [Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) Hidden $307 615 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 15:46 UTC [Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) [kvaki](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/kvaki) $307 615 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 15:46 UTC [Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-field-tested) Hidden $307 615 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 15:46 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) Hidden $307 615 coins $377 753 coins 1.23x 2026-11-07 15:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $307 | 90.00% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.5% covert 48.5% contraband 0.3% Covert 0.8% gold 0.4% Rare 49.5% best hit $2,156 (7.02x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt