--- title: "Jungle Pot case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Jungle Pot ($15.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 6 items with odds, observed 108.06% over 895 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jungle-pot rendered: 2026-11-11T19:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Jungle Pot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jungle-pot) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Jungle Pot A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jungle-pot?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jungle-pot?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jungle-pot) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jungle-pot?window=all) Price · $15.00 · 29.99 coins Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $13.49 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 108.06% · 895 openings, odds method Variance · 11.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 10 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 86 openings · below min 7 days · 112.74% ±23.16 824 openings 30 days · 108.06% ±22.22 895 openings since tracking started · 108.06% ±22.22 895 openings 72.0% 144.3% 216.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jungle-pot?window=24h) | 86 | 144.40% ±71.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jungle-pot?window=7d) | 824 | 112.74% ±23.2 | +1.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jungle-pot) | 895 | 108.06% ±22.2 | +1.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/jungle-pot?window=all) | 895 | 108.06% ±22.2 | +1.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 895 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $501 1,002 coins | 37.1% | 13 | 9.0 | 1.45× | | [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Groundwater (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-groundwater-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $50.13 100 coins | 33.4% | 87 | 80.5 | 1.08× | | [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 15.0% | $11.05 22.1 coins | 12.3% | 139 | 134.3 | 1.04× | | [Charm \| Disco MAC charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-disco-mac) | 16.0% | $8.00 16 coins | 9.5% | 153 | 143.2 | 1.07× | | [Negev \| CaliCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-calicamo-field-tested) | 20.0% | $5.17 10.33 coins | 7.7% | 168 | 179.0 | 0.94× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) | 39.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 335 | 349.1 | 0.96× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) [fortune](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/fortune) $15.00 29.99 coins $501 1,002 coins 33.41x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.00 29.99 coins $501 1,002 coins 33.41x 2026-11-11 12:49 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.00 29.99 coins $501 1,002 coins 33.41x 2026-11-08 19:26 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.00 29.99 coins $501 1,002 coins 33.41x 2026-11-08 18:20 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.00 29.99 coins $501 1,002 coins 33.41x 2026-11-08 15:18 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.00 29.99 coins $501 1,002 coins 33.41x 2026-11-08 04:48 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.00 29.99 coins $501 1,002 coins 33.41x 2026-11-07 18:02 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.00 29.99 coins $501 1,002 coins 33.41x 2026-11-06 00:38 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.00 29.99 coins $501 1,002 coins 33.41x 2026-11-06 00:37 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.00 29.99 coins $501 1,002 coins 33.41x 2026-11-05 23:56 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=jungle-pot) [Negev | CaliCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-calicamo-field-tested) Hidden $15.00 29.99 coins $5.17 10.33 coins 0.34x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Groundwater (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-groundwater-factory-new) Hidden $15.00 29.99 coins $50.13 100 coins 3.34x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC [Charm | Disco MAC charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-disco-mac) Hidden $15.00 29.99 coins $8.00 16 coins 0.53x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC [Charm | Disco MAC charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-disco-mac) Hidden $15.00 29.99 coins $8.00 16 coins 0.53x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC [Charm | Disco MAC charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-disco-mac) Hidden $15.00 29.99 coins $8.00 16 coins 0.53x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC [Charm | Disco MAC charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-disco-mac) Hidden $15.00 29.99 coins $8.00 16 coins 0.53x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC [Negev | CaliCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-calicamo-field-tested) Hidden $15.00 29.99 coins $5.17 10.33 coins 0.34x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC [Charm | Disco MAC charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-disco-mac) [axel02legmail](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/axel02legmail) $15.00 29.99 coins $8.00 16 coins 0.53x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $15.00 29.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $15.00 29.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $15.00 | 89.98% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 1.0% Industrial Grade 9.0% Legendary 15.0% uncommon 16.0% industrial 20.0% consumer 39.0% best hit $501 (33.41x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt