--- title: "Kill House case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Kill House ($10.10) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 16 items with odds, observed 101.84% over 2,103 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/kill-house rendered: 2026-11-11T15:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Kill House](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/kill-house) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Kill House A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/kill-house?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/kill-house?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/kill-house) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/kill-house?window=all) Price · $10.10 · 20.19 coins Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $9.08 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 101.84% · 2,103 openings, odds method Variance · 11.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 36 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 124 openings · below min 7 days · 105.18% ±15.36 1,788 openings 30 days · 101.84% ±14.16 2,103 openings since tracking started · 101.84% ±14.16 2,103 openings 70.5% 129.5% 188.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/kill-house?window=24h) | 124 | 129.43% ±58.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/kill-house?window=7d) | 1,788 | 105.18% ±15.4 | +1.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/kill-house) | 2,103 | 101.84% ±14.2 | +1.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/kill-house?window=all) | 2,103 | 101.84% ±14.2 | +1.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,103 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $377 753 coins | 8.3% | 4 | 4.2 | 0.95× | | [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $277 555 coins | 12.2% | 10 | 8.4 | 1.19× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $226 452 coins | 12.4% | 16 | 10.5 | 1.52× | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $120 241 coins | 9.3% | 15 | 14.7 | 1.02× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $98.74 197 coins | 10.9% | 22 | 21.0 | 1.05× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $57.32 115 coins | 6.3% | 26 | 21.0 | 1.24× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $56.30 113 coins | 6.2% | 17 | 21.0 | 0.81× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $51.37 103 coins | 5.7% | 26 | 21.0 | 1.24× | | [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $40.53 81.05 coins | 8.9% | 41 | 42.1 | 0.97× | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $29.87 59.74 coins | 6.6% | 48 | 42.1 | 1.14× | | [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $21.68 43.36 coins | 4.8% | 55 | 42.1 | 1.31× | | [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $7.49 14.98 coins | 2.5% | 64 | 63.1 | 1.01× | | [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $5.51 11.01 coins | 1.8% | 58 | 63.1 | 0.92× | | [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $4.74 9.47 coins | 2.1% | 92 | 84.1 | 1.09× | | [P90 \| Death Grip (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $4.59 9.17 coins | 2.0% | 93 | 84.1 | 1.11× | | [Glock-18 \| Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) | 74.2% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.1% | 1,516 | 1560.4 | 0.97× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=kill-house) [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) Hidden $10.10 20.19 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:25 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) Hidden $10.10 20.19 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:25 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) Hidden $10.10 20.19 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:25 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) Hidden $10.10 20.19 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:25 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) Hidden $10.10 20.19 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:04 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) Hidden $10.10 20.19 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:04 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) Hidden $10.10 20.19 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:04 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) Hidden $10.10 20.19 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:04 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) Hidden $10.10 20.19 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:04 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) [Apex5887](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Apex5887) $10.10 20.19 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $10.10 | 89.98% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 9.9% classified 10.4% Classified 0.5% Covert 1.0% restricted 4.0% industrial 74.2% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt