--- title: "Kush V2 case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Kush V2 ($56.54) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 12 items with odds, observed 109.10% over 988 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/kush-v2 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Kush V2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/kush-v2) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Kush V2 A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/kush-v2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/kush-v2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/kush-v2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/kush-v2?window=all) Price · $56.54 · 113 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $50.88 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 109.10% · 988 openings, odds method Variance · 31.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 97 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 82 openings · below min 7 days · 95.63% ±37.44 856 openings 30 days · 109.10% ±34.85 988 openings since tracking started · 109.10% ±34.85 988 openings -0.5% 114.0% 228.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/kush-v2?window=24h) | 82 | 106.70% ±121.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/kush-v2?window=7d) | 856 | 95.63% ±37.4 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/kush-v2) | 988 | 109.10% ±34.8 | +1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/kush-v2?window=all) | 988 | 109.10% ±34.8 | +1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 988 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $10.9K 21,888 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $9,355 18,710 coins | 1.8% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,722 7,444 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $3,414 6,828 coins | 33.6% | 7 | 4.9 | 1.42× | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,493 2,987 coins | 14.7% | 4 | 4.9 | 0.81× | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,252 2,504 coins | 12.3% | 3 | 4.9 | 0.61× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $308 616 coins | 3.0% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.21× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $220 440 coins | 8.5% | 15 | 19.5 | 0.77× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $169 339 coins | 10.0% | 40 | 29.6 | 1.35× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $129 258 coins | 10.1% | 34 | 39.5 | 0.86× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $39.19 78.38 coins | 3.1% | 42 | 39.5 | 1.06× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) | 85.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 836 | 839.8 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $56.54 113 coins $9,355 18,710 coins 165.5x 2026-11-06 06:57 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) [nigxoo](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/nigxoo) $56.54 113 coins $3,414 6,828 coins 60.39x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $56.54 113 coins $3,414 6,828 coins 60.39x 2026-11-06 13:43 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $56.54 113 coins $3,414 6,828 coins 60.39x 2026-11-04 21:11 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $56.54 113 coins $3,414 6,828 coins 60.39x 2026-11-04 21:09 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) [CASEREVIEWER](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/CASEREVIEWER) $56.54 113 coins $3,414 6,828 coins 60.39x 2026-11-03 11:54 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $56.54 113 coins $3,414 6,828 coins 60.39x 2026-11-03 11:54 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $56.54 113 coins $3,414 6,828 coins 60.39x 2026-11-03 01:27 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $56.54 113 coins $1,493 2,987 coins 26.41x 2026-11-09 11:42 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $56.54 113 coins $1,493 2,987 coins 26.41x 2026-11-08 15:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=kush-v2) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $56.54 113 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $56.54 113 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $56.54 113 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $56.54 113 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) Hidden $56.54 113 coins $169 339 coins 3.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $56.54 113 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $56.54 113 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) [nigxoo](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/nigxoo) $56.54 113 coins $39.19 78.38 coins 0.69x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $56.54 113 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:19 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $56.54 113 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $56.54 | 89.99% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed contraband 0.0% covert 12.0% extraordinary 2.5% legendary 0.5% consumer 85.0% best hit $9,355 (165.5x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt