--- title: "LA 1.2% Bayonets case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "LA 1.2% Bayonets ($12.50) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 79.05% over 3,874 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/la-12-bayonets rendered: 2026-11-12T05:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [LA 1.2% Bayonets](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/la-12-bayonets) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · LA 1.2% Bayonets A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/la-12-bayonets?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/la-12-bayonets?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/la-12-bayonets) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/la-12-bayonets?window=all) Price · $12.50 · 25 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 79.05% · 3,874 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 30 openings · below min 7 days · 708 openings · below min 30 days · 79.05% ±27.66 3,874 openings since tracking started · 79.05% ±27.66 3,874 openings -0.5% 202.5% 405.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/la-12-bayonets?window=24h) | 30 | 136.73% ±267.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/la-12-bayonets?window=7d) | 708 | 84.85% ±67.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/la-12-bayonets) | 3,874 | 79.05% ±27.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/la-12-bayonets?window=all) | 3,874 | 79.05% ±27.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,858 3,716 coins 148.6x 2026-11-10 19:26 UTC [★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,858 3,716 coins 148.6x 2026-11-07 00:06 UTC [★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) [ludas00](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/ludas00) $12.50 25 coins $1,858 3,716 coins 148.6x 2026-11-05 00:11 UTC [★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,858 3,716 coins 148.6x 2026-11-04 21:36 UTC [★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,858 3,716 coins 148.6x 2026-11-04 20:29 UTC [★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,858 3,716 coins 148.6x 2026-11-04 07:29 UTC [★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,858 3,716 coins 148.6x 2026-11-04 07:07 UTC [★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,858 3,716 coins 148.6x 2026-11-04 07:00 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,119 2,238 coins 89.53x 2026-11-05 20:23 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,119 2,238 coins 89.53x 2026-11-05 01:35 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=la-12-bayonets) [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:52 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:52 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:52 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:52 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:49 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:49 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $513 1,025 coins 41.01x 2026-11-12 05:49 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 05:49 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) [Tomex](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Tomex) $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,858 (148.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 79.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $79.05 on average: an expected loss of $20.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt