--- title: "ladyluck 12% case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "ladyluck 12% ($44.34) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 42.15% over 8 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ladyluck-12 rendered: 2026-11-11T22:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [ladyluck 12%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ladyluck-12) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · ladyluck 12% A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ladyluck-12?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ladyluck-12?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ladyluck-12) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ladyluck-12?window=all) Price · $44.34 · 88.67 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 42.15% · 8 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 8 openings · below min since tracking started · 8 openings · below min -0.5% 54.8% 110.0% **Small sample.** 8 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ladyluck-12?window=24h) | 8 | 42.15% ±67.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ladyluck-12?window=7d) | 8 | 42.15% ±67.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ladyluck-12) | 8 | 42.15% ±67.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ladyluck-12?window=all) | 8 | 42.15% ±67.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=ladyluck-12) [P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $44.34 88.67 coins $3.50 7 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) Hidden $44.34 88.67 coins $3.43 6.86 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) Hidden $44.34 88.67 coins $3.43 6.86 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) Hidden $44.34 88.67 coins $3.43 6.86 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $44.34 88.67 coins $3.50 7 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $44.34 88.67 coins $3.50 7 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $44.34 88.67 coins $125 251 coins 2.83x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) [LukexSoHandsome](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/LukexSoHandsome) $44.34 88.67 coins $3.43 6.86 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 42.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $42.15 on average: an expected loss of $57.85 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt