--- title: "LATVIA case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "LATVIA ($4.25) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 135.56% over 420 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/latvia rendered: 2026-11-11T17:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [LATVIA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/latvia) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · LATVIA A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/latvia?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/latvia?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/latvia) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/latvia?window=all) Price · $4.25 · 8.5 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 135.56% · 420 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 34 openings · below min 7 days · 402 openings · below min 30 days · 420 openings · below min since tracking started · 420 openings · below min -0.5% 146.5% 293.5% **Small sample.** 420 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/latvia?window=24h) | 34 | 0.12% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/latvia?window=7d) | 402 | 141.33% ±151.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/latvia) | 420 | 135.56% ±145.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/latvia?window=all) | 420 | 135.56% ±145.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $4.25 8.5 coins $1,258 2,517 coins 296.1x 2026-11-07 20:51 UTC [★ Karambit | Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-scorched-field-tested) Hidden $4.25 8.5 coins $328 656 coins 77.18x 2026-11-05 19:28 UTC [★ Karambit | Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-scorched-field-tested) Hidden $4.25 8.5 coins $328 656 coins 77.18x 2026-11-04 16:28 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=latvia) [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $4.25 8.5 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:11 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [chxngezs](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/chxngezs) $4.25 8.5 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:11 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $4.25 8.5 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:11 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $4.25 8.5 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:11 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $4.25 8.5 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:11 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $4.25 8.5 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:11 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $4.25 8.5 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:11 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [chxngezs](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/chxngezs) $4.25 8.5 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:11 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $4.25 8.5 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:11 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $4.25 8.5 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,258 (296.1x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 135.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $135.56 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt