--- title: "LE BANDIT 5% case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "LE BANDIT 5% ($50.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 106.14% over 548 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/le-bandit-5 rendered: 2026-11-12T07:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [LE BANDIT 5%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/le-bandit-5) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · LE BANDIT 5% A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/le-bandit-5?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/le-bandit-5?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/le-bandit-5) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/le-bandit-5?window=all) Price · $50.00 · 100 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 106.14% · 548 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 440 openings · below min 30 days · 548 openings · below min since tracking started · 548 openings · below min -0.5% 114.0% 228.5% **Small sample.** 548 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/le-bandit-5?window=24h) | 18 | 0.01% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/le-bandit-5?window=7d) | 440 | 124.49% ±103.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/le-bandit-5) | 548 | 106.14% ±83.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/le-bandit-5?window=all) | 548 | 106.14% ±83.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $8,347 16,693 coins 166.9x 2026-11-07 15:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [tijsv20](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/tijsv20) $50.00 100 coins $7,651 15,302 coins 153.0x 2026-11-09 12:09 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $1,293 2,585 coins 25.85x 2026-11-06 01:45 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $873 1,745 coins 17.45x 2026-11-07 00:23 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $601 1,202 coins 12.02x 2026-11-09 12:10 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $601 1,202 coins 12.02x 2026-11-06 18:38 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $601 1,202 coins 12.02x 2026-11-06 18:37 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $601 1,202 coins 12.02x 2026-11-06 18:37 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $601 1,202 coins 12.02x 2026-11-06 18:31 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $601 1,202 coins 12.02x 2026-11-06 06:54 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=le-bandit-5) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:50 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:50 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:50 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:50 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:50 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [BrokeCalls](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BrokeCalls) $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:50 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:42 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:42 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:42 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $8,347 (166.9x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 106.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $106.14 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt