--- title: "LIL GRIGGY case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "LIL GRIGGY ($6.67) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 120.67% over 976 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lil-griggy rendered: 2026-11-11T22:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [LIL GRIGGY](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lil-griggy) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · LIL GRIGGY A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lil-griggy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lil-griggy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lil-griggy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lil-griggy?window=all) Price · $6.67 · 13.33 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 120.67% · 976 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 128 openings · below min 7 days · 968 openings · below min 30 days · 976 openings · below min since tracking started · 976 openings · below min -0.5% 177.5% 355.5% **Small sample.** 976 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lil-griggy?window=24h) | 128 | 142.02% ±212.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lil-griggy?window=7d) | 968 | 119.25% ±69.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lil-griggy) | 976 | 120.67% ±68.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lil-griggy?window=all) | 976 | 120.67% ±68.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $6.67 13.33 coins $918 1,836 coins 137.7x 2026-11-10 00:15 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $6.67 13.33 coins $918 1,836 coins 137.7x 2026-11-09 00:54 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $6.67 13.33 coins $918 1,836 coins 137.7x 2026-11-08 01:44 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $6.67 13.33 coins $916 1,831 coins 137.4x 2026-11-11 05:33 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $6.67 13.33 coins $916 1,831 coins 137.4x 2026-11-09 00:53 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $6.67 13.33 coins $916 1,831 coins 137.4x 2026-11-08 01:11 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=lil-griggy) [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-well-worn) Hidden $6.67 13.33 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:10 UTC [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-well-worn) Hidden $6.67 13.33 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:10 UTC [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-well-worn) Hidden $6.67 13.33 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:10 UTC [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-well-worn) Hidden $6.67 13.33 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:10 UTC [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-well-worn) [Bilboref](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Bilboref) $6.67 13.33 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:10 UTC [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-well-worn) Hidden $6.67 13.33 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:10 UTC [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-well-worn) Hidden $6.67 13.33 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:09 UTC [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-well-worn) Hidden $6.67 13.33 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:09 UTC [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-well-worn) Hidden $6.67 13.33 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:09 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-black-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $6.67 13.33 coins $62.13 124 coins 9.32x 2026-11-11 18:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $918 (137.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 120.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $120.67 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt