--- title: "lilNGASONLY case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "lilNGASONLY ($93.65) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 98.25% over 2,606 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lilngasonly rendered: 2026-11-11T19:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [lilNGASONLY](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lilngasonly) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · lilNGASONLY A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lilngasonly?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lilngasonly?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lilngasonly) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lilngasonly?window=all) Price · $93.65 · 187 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 98.25% · 2,606 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 268 openings · below min 7 days · 90.93% ±19.53 2,072 openings 30 days · 98.25% ±18.78 2,606 openings since tracking started · 98.25% ±18.78 2,606 openings 29.0% 73.3% 117.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lilngasonly?window=24h) | 268 | 72.62% ±43.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lilngasonly?window=7d) | 2,072 | 90.93% ±19.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lilngasonly) | 2,606 | 98.25% ±18.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lilngasonly?window=all) | 2,606 | 98.25% ±18.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) [Bilboref](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Bilboref) $93.65 187 coins $4,916 9,833 coins 52.50x 2026-11-08 05:09 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $93.65 187 coins $4,916 9,833 coins 52.50x 2026-11-08 05:04 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $93.65 187 coins $4,916 9,833 coins 52.50x 2026-11-08 05:02 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $93.65 187 coins $4,916 9,833 coins 52.50x 2026-11-08 05:01 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $93.65 187 coins $4,916 9,833 coins 52.50x 2026-11-04 19:02 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $93.65 187 coins $4,916 9,833 coins 52.50x 2026-11-04 12:08 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $93.65 187 coins $4,916 9,833 coins 52.50x 2026-11-04 08:19 UTC [Sticker | somebody (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-somebody-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $93.65 187 coins $4,480 8,960 coins 47.84x 2026-11-04 19:03 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $93.65 187 coins $4,198 8,395 coins 44.82x 2026-11-11 06:00 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $93.65 187 coins $4,198 8,395 coins 44.82x 2026-11-08 05:10 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=lilngasonly) [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $93.65 187 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:08 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $93.65 187 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:08 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $93.65 187 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:08 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $93.65 187 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:08 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $93.65 187 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:08 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $93.65 187 coins $386 771 coins 4.12x 2026-11-11 06:08 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $93.65 187 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:08 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $93.65 187 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:08 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $93.65 187 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:07 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $93.65 187 coins $285 570 coins 3.04x 2026-11-11 06:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $4,916 (52.50x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 98.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $98.25 on average: an expected loss of $1.75 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt