---
title: "Lobotomy case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Lobotomy ($5.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 102.31% over 7,704 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lobotomy
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:31Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Lobotomy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lobotomy)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Lobotomy

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lobotomy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lobotomy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lobotomy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lobotomy?window=all)

Price · $5.00 · 10 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 102.31% · 7,704 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 95.46% ±40.76 1,998 openings

7 days · 92.73% ±21.25 6,300 openings

30 days · 102.31% ±21.87 7,704 openings

since tracking started · 102.31% ±21.87 7,704 openings

54.0% 95.5% 137.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lobotomy?window=24h) | 1,998 | 95.46% ±40.8 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lobotomy?window=7d) | 6,300 | 92.73% ±21.2 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lobotomy) | 7,704 | 102.31% ±21.9 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lobotomy?window=all) | 7,704 | 102.31% ±21.9 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $1,543 3,086 coins 308.6x 2026-11-10 22:55 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $1,543 3,086 coins 308.6x 2026-11-03 18:47 UTC

[Sticker | NiKo (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $1,253 2,507 coins 250.7x 2026-11-07 20:30 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $882 1,765 coins 176.5x 2026-11-04 11:43 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $882 1,765 coins 176.5x 2026-11-02 23:09 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $882 1,765 coins 176.5x 2026-11-02 22:46 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $721 1,443 coins 144.3x 2026-11-07 21:26 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $721 1,443 coins 144.3x 2026-11-06 17:34 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $721 1,443 coins 144.3x 2026-11-04 18:04 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $721 1,443 coins 144.3x 2026-11-03 11:19 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=lobotomy)

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [GrimViper3313](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/GrimViper3313) $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [GrimViper3313](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/GrimViper3313) $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $1,543 (308.6x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 102.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $102.31 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
