--- title: "Lowkey 5% case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Lowkey 5% ($3.24) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 329.93% over 30 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lowkey-5 rendered: 2026-11-12T05:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Lowkey 5%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lowkey-5) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Lowkey 5% A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lowkey-5?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lowkey-5?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lowkey-5) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lowkey-5?window=all) Price · $3.24 · 6.48 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 329.93% · 30 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 14 openings · below min 30 days · 30 openings · below min since tracking started · 30 openings · below min -0.5% 449.0% 898.5% **Small sample.** 30 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lowkey-5?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lowkey-5?window=7d) | 14 | 43.02% ±83.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lowkey-5) | 30 | 329.93% ±567.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lowkey-5?window=all) | 30 | 329.93% ±567.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-scorched-field-tested) Hidden $3.24 6.48 coins $282 563 coins 86.93x 2026-11-04 19:57 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=lowkey-5) [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-well-worn) Hidden $3.24 6.48 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 20:18 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $3.24 6.48 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 20:18 UTC [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-well-worn) Hidden $3.24 6.48 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 20:18 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $3.24 6.48 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 20:18 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $3.24 6.48 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 20:18 UTC [M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [chindy](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/chindy) $3.24 6.48 coins $19.42 38.83 coins 5.99x 2026-11-10 20:18 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $3.24 6.48 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 21:48 UTC [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-well-worn) Hidden $3.24 6.48 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 21:48 UTC [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-well-worn) Hidden $3.24 6.48 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 21:48 UTC [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-well-worn) Hidden $3.24 6.48 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 21:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $282 (86.93x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 329.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $329.93 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt