--- title: "LUCKY 7% case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "LUCKY 7% ($174.12) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 29.16% over 72 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lucky-7 rendered: 2026-11-13T00:15Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [LUCKY 7%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lucky-7) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · LUCKY 7% A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lucky-7?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lucky-7?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lucky-7) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lucky-7?window=all) Price · $174.12 · 348 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 29.16% · 72 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 66 openings · below min 30 days · 72 openings · below min since tracking started · 72 openings · below min -0.5% 35.0% 70.5% **Small sample.** 72 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lucky-7?window=24h) | 8 | 3.73% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lucky-7?window=7d) | 66 | 31.47% ±38.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lucky-7) | 72 | 29.16% ±35.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lucky-7?window=all) | 72 | 29.16% ±35.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $174 348 coins $1,796 3,591 coins 10.31x 2026-11-06 16:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $174 348 coins $1,405 2,810 coins 8.07x 2026-11-08 22:42 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=lucky-7) [Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $174 348 coins $6.50 12.99 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 20:47 UTC [Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $174 348 coins $6.50 12.99 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 20:47 UTC [Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $174 348 coins $6.50 12.99 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 20:47 UTC [Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $174 348 coins $6.50 12.99 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 20:47 UTC [Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $174 348 coins $6.50 12.99 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 20:47 UTC [Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $174 348 coins $6.50 12.99 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 20:47 UTC [Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $174 348 coins $6.50 12.99 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 20:47 UTC [Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) [BriskVault1293](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BriskVault1293) $174 348 coins $6.50 12.99 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 20:47 UTC [Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $174 348 coins $6.50 12.99 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 01:16 UTC [Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $174 348 coins $6.50 12.99 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 01:16 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,796 (10.31x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 29.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $29.16 on average: an expected loss of $70.84 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt