--- title: "LuckyCasesGG #1 case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "LuckyCasesGG #1 ($400.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 3.95% over 8 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/luckycasesgg-1 rendered: 2026-11-12T13:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [LuckyCasesGG #1](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/luckycasesgg-1) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · LuckyCasesGG #1 A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/luckycasesgg-1?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/luckycasesgg-1?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/luckycasesgg-1) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/luckycasesgg-1?window=all) Price · $400.00 · 800 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 3.95% · 8 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 8 openings · below min since tracking started · 8 openings · below min -0.5% 5.8% 12.0% **Small sample.** 8 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/luckycasesgg-1?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/luckycasesgg-1?window=7d) | 8 | 3.95% ±7.47 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/luckycasesgg-1) | 8 | 3.95% ±7.47 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/luckycasesgg-1?window=all) | 8 | 3.95% ±7.47 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=luckycasesgg-1) [MP9 | Slide (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-factory-new) Hidden $400 800 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [MP9 | Slide (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-factory-new) Hidden $400 800 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Freehand (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-freehand-factory-new) Hidden $400 800 coins $122 245 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [MP9 | Slide (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-factory-new) Hidden $400 800 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [R8 Revolver | Phoenix Marker (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-phoenix-marker-factory-new) Hidden $400 800 coins $1.83 3.65 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [MP9 | Slide (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-factory-new) Hidden $400 800 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [MP9 | Slide (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-factory-new) Hidden $400 800 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [P2000 | Pulse (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-factory-new) Hidden $400 800 coins $1.84 3.68 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 3.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $3.95 on average: an expected loss of $96.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt