--- title: "M4 Maurader case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "M4 Maurader ($42.38) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 357.76% over 38 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/m4-maurader rendered: 2026-11-13T08:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [M4 Maurader](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/m4-maurader) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · M4 Maurader A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/m4-maurader?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/m4-maurader?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/m4-maurader) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/m4-maurader?window=all) Price · $42.38 · 84.75 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 357.76% · 38 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 38 openings · below min 30 days · 38 openings · below min since tracking started · 38 openings · below min -0.5% 423.5% 847.5% **Small sample.** 38 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/m4-maurader?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/m4-maurader?window=7d) | 38 | 357.76% ±488.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/m4-maurader) | 38 | 357.76% ±488.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/m4-maurader?window=all) | 38 | 357.76% ±488.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) Hidden $42.38 84.75 coins $3,920 7,840 coins 92.51x 2026-11-09 22:50 UTC [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) [JohnDoe77](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/JohnDoe77) $42.38 84.75 coins $758 1,515 coins 17.88x 2026-11-09 22:50 UTC [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) Hidden $42.38 84.75 coins $758 1,515 coins 17.88x 2026-11-09 22:49 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=m4-maurader) [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) Hidden $42.38 84.75 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) Hidden $42.38 84.75 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) [Nightlights12](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Nightlights12) $42.38 84.75 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) Hidden $42.38 84.75 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) Hidden $42.38 84.75 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:11 UTC [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) [JohnDoe77](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/JohnDoe77) $42.38 84.75 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:11 UTC [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) Hidden $42.38 84.75 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:11 UTC [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) Hidden $42.38 84.75 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:11 UTC [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) Hidden $42.38 84.75 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:11 UTC [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) [Nightlights12](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Nightlights12) $42.38 84.75 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $3,920 (92.51x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 357.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $357.76 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt