--- title: "MAXXING case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "MAXXING ($313.31) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds, observed 59.50% over 1,001 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maxxing rendered: 2026-11-11T13:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [MAXXING](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maxxing) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · MAXXING A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maxxing?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maxxing?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maxxing) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maxxing?window=all) Price · $313.31 · 627 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $281.97 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 59.50% · 1,001 openings, odds method Variance · 79.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 44.54% ±126.58 190 openings 7 days · 60.83% ±55.76 979 openings 30 days · 59.50% ±55.15 1,001 openings since tracking started · 59.50% ±55.15 1,001 openings -0.5% 85.8% 172.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maxxing?window=24h) | 190 | 44.54% ±126.6 | −0.7σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maxxing?window=7d) | 979 | 60.83% ±55.8 | −1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maxxing) | 1,001 | 59.50% ±55.1 | −1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maxxing?window=all) | 1,001 | 59.50% ±55.1 | −1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,001 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $217K 434,217 coins | 7.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 10,000 | $73.5K 147,047 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 10,000 | $72.4K 144,822 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 10,000 | $52.4K 104,780 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 4,000 | $36.5K 72,902 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $36.3K 72,651 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,857 | $31.6K 63,128 coins | 3.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 2,000 | $12.1K 24,151 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $10.9K 21,888 coins | 1.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Sticker \| 3DMAX (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 17 | $3,314 6,628 coins | 70.8% | 53 | 60.3 | 0.88× | | [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 93.8% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 947 | 938.4 | 1.01× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $313 627 coins $10.9K 21,888 coins 34.93x 2026-11-07 21:59 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $313 627 coins $3,314 6,628 coins 10.58x 2026-11-11 12:22 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $313 627 coins $3,314 6,628 coins 10.58x 2026-11-11 12:22 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $313 627 coins $3,314 6,628 coins 10.58x 2026-11-11 12:22 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $313 627 coins $3,314 6,628 coins 10.58x 2026-11-11 12:22 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $313 627 coins $3,314 6,628 coins 10.58x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $313 627 coins $3,314 6,628 coins 10.58x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $313 627 coins $3,314 6,628 coins 10.58x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $313 627 coins $3,314 6,628 coins 10.58x 2026-11-11 11:04 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $313 627 coins $3,314 6,628 coins 10.58x 2026-11-10 12:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=maxxing) [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $313 627 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:22 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $313 627 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:22 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $313 627 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:22 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $313 627 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:22 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $313 627 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:22 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $313 627 coins $3,314 6,628 coins 10.58x 2026-11-11 12:22 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $313 627 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:22 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $313 627 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:22 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $313 627 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:22 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $313 627 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $313 | 90.00% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% legendary 0.1% remarkable 6.1% contraband 0.1% #4b69ff 93.8% best hit $10.9K (34.93x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt