---
title: "Maybe Maybe Not Again case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Maybe Maybe Not Again ($33.91) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.67% over 2,372 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maybe-maybe-not-again
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:51Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Maybe Maybe Not Again](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maybe-maybe-not-again)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Maybe Maybe Not Again

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maybe-maybe-not-again?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maybe-maybe-not-again?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maybe-maybe-not-again) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maybe-maybe-not-again?window=all)

Price · $33.91 · 67.82 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.67% · 2,372 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 192 openings · below min

7 days · 85.67% ±42.49 2,372 openings

30 days · 85.67% ±42.49 2,372 openings

since tracking started · 85.67% ±42.49 2,372 openings

1.0% 65.0% 129.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maybe-maybe-not-again?window=24h) | 192 | 34.96% ±33.3 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maybe-maybe-not-again?window=7d) | 2,372 | 85.67% ±42.5 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maybe-maybe-not-again) | 2,372 | 85.67% ±42.5 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maybe-maybe-not-again?window=all) | 2,372 | 85.67% ±42.5 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $33.91 67.82 coins $5,754 11,508 coins 169.7x 2026-11-09 00:52 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $33.91 67.82 coins $5,754 11,508 coins 169.7x 2026-11-09 00:49 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $33.91 67.82 coins $5,754 11,508 coins 169.7x 2026-11-09 00:43 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $33.91 67.82 coins $5,754 11,508 coins 169.7x 2026-11-09 00:42 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $33.91 67.82 coins $5,754 11,508 coins 169.7x 2026-11-09 00:36 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $33.91 67.82 coins $5,754 11,508 coins 169.7x 2026-11-09 00:32 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $33.91 67.82 coins $5,754 11,508 coins 169.7x 2026-11-09 00:32 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $33.91 67.82 coins $5,754 11,508 coins 169.7x 2026-11-09 00:30 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $33.91 67.82 coins $5,754 11,508 coins 169.7x 2026-11-09 00:29 UTC

[★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $33.91 67.82 coins $939 1,878 coins 27.69x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=maybe-maybe-not-again)

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $33.91 67.82 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $33.91 67.82 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $33.91 67.82 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $33.91 67.82 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $33.91 67.82 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $33.91 67.82 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $33.91 67.82 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $33.91 67.82 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $33.91 67.82 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $33.91 67.82 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $5,754 (169.7x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.67 on average: an expected loss of $14.33 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
