--- title: "Maybe Maybe not v2 case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Maybe Maybe not v2 ($34.36) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 75.91% over 1,636 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maybe-maybe-not-v2 rendered: 2026-11-12T07:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Maybe Maybe not v2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maybe-maybe-not-v2) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Maybe Maybe not v2 A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maybe-maybe-not-v2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maybe-maybe-not-v2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maybe-maybe-not-v2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maybe-maybe-not-v2?window=all) Price · $34.36 · 68.71 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 75.91% · 1,636 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 75.91% ±47.89 1,636 openings 30 days · 75.91% ±47.89 1,636 openings since tracking started · 75.91% ±47.89 1,636 openings 27.5% 76.0% 124.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maybe-maybe-not-v2?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maybe-maybe-not-v2?window=7d) | 1,636 | 75.91% ±47.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maybe-maybe-not-v2) | 1,636 | 75.91% ±47.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/maybe-maybe-not-v2?window=all) | 1,636 | 75.91% ±47.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $34.36 68.71 coins $7,651 15,302 coins 222.7x 2026-11-07 06:46 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $34.36 68.71 coins $7,651 15,302 coins 222.7x 2026-11-07 06:39 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $34.36 68.71 coins $7,651 15,302 coins 222.7x 2026-11-07 06:39 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $34.36 68.71 coins $1,018 2,037 coins 29.64x 2026-11-07 06:52 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $34.36 68.71 coins $1,018 2,037 coins 29.64x 2026-11-07 06:52 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $34.36 68.71 coins $1,018 2,037 coins 29.64x 2026-11-07 06:50 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $34.36 68.71 coins $1,018 2,037 coins 29.64x 2026-11-07 06:45 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $34.36 68.71 coins $1,018 2,037 coins 29.64x 2026-11-07 06:37 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $34.36 68.71 coins $809 1,618 coins 23.56x 2026-11-07 06:54 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $34.36 68.71 coins $809 1,618 coins 23.56x 2026-11-07 06:50 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=maybe-maybe-not-v2) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $34.36 68.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 12:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $34.36 68.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 12:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $34.36 68.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 12:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [yolo67](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/yolo67) $34.36 68.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 12:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $34.36 68.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 12:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $34.36 68.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 12:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $34.36 68.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 12:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [yolo67](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/yolo67) $34.36 68.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 12:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $34.36 68.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 12:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $34.36 68.71 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 12:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $7,651 (222.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.91 on average: an expected loss of $24.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt