---
title: "Meluhdy case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Meluhdy ($89.71) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 36 items with odds, observed 104.67% over 8,343 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/meluhdy
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:55Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Meluhdy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/meluhdy)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Meluhdy

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/meluhdy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/meluhdy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/meluhdy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/meluhdy?window=all)

Price · $89.71 · 179 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $80.74 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 104.67% · 8,343 openings, odds method

Variance · 91.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 224 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 97.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 119.39% ±50.57 1,368 openings

7 days · 111.64% ±25.71 5,294 openings

30 days · 104.67% ±20.48 8,343 openings

since tracking started · 104.67% ±20.48 8,343 openings

68.0% 119.3% 170.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/meluhdy?window=24h) | 1,368 | 119.39% ±50.6 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/meluhdy?window=7d) | 5,294 | 111.64% ±25.7 | +1.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/meluhdy) | 8,343 | 104.67% ±20.5 | +1.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/meluhdy?window=all) | 8,343 | 104.67% ±20.5 | +1.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,343 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 18,182 | $72.4K 144,822 coins | 4.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $10.9K 21,888 coins | 5.4% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.90× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $9,925 19,850 coins | 4.9% | 4 | 3.3 | 1.20× |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $9,847 19,695 coins | 4.9% | 9 | 3.3 | 2.70× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $9,398 18,795 coins | 4.7% | 5 | 3.3 | 1.50× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,500 | $8,347 16,693 coins | 4.1% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.60× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,500 | $8,079 16,159 coins | 4.0% | 5 | 3.3 | 1.50× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $7,754 15,508 coins | 3.8% | 5 | 3.3 | 1.50× |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,500 | $7,651 15,302 coins | 3.8% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.90× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $7,444 14,887 coins | 3.7% | 7 | 3.3 | 2.10× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,500 | $7,335 14,669 coins | 3.6% | 4 | 3.3 | 1.20× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $7,137 14,274 coins | 3.5% | 5 | 3.3 | 1.50× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 2,857 | $7,082 14,163 coins | 3.1% | 5 | 2.9 | 1.71× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,857 | $6,562 13,124 coins | 2.8% | 6 | 2.9 | 2.05× |
| [Sticker \| LGB eSports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,857 | $6,328 12,655 coins | 2.7% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.03× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,857 | $6,282 12,564 coins | 2.7% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.34× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,857 | $4,962 9,924 coins | 2.2% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.03× |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 2,857 | $4,761 9,523 coins | 2.1% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.03× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,857 | $4,425 8,850 coins | 1.9% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.68× |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,857 | $4,209 8,418 coins | 1.8% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.34× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,857 | $3,644 7,288 coins | 1.6% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.03× |
| [Sticker \| mousesports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,857 | $3,498 6,995 coins | 1.5% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.37× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,857 | $3,326 6,652 coins | 1.4% | 6 | 2.9 | 2.05× |
| [Sticker \| Reason Gaming \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,857 | $3,097 6,194 coins | 1.3% | 0 | 2.9 | 0.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,857 | $2,993 5,986 coins | 1.3% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.34× |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 2,857 | $2,955 5,910 coins | 1.3% | 0 | 2.9 | 0.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,857 | $2,946 5,893 coins | 1.3% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.37× |
| [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,857 | $2,919 5,838 coins | 1.3% | 6 | 2.9 | 2.05× |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Charred (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $744 1,489 coins | 9.2% | 79 | 83.4 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $122 244 coins | 1.5% | 86 | 83.4 | 1.03× |
| [XM1014 \| Red Leather (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-red-leather-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $36.61 73.22 coins | 1.8% | 339 | 333.7 | 1.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $26.89 53.78 coins | 1.7% | 424 | 417.2 | 1.02× |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $23.04 46.07 coins | 1.7% | 493 | 500.6 | 0.98× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $13.79 27.57 coins | 1.2% | 601 | 584.0 | 1.03× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $10.59 21.17 coins | 1.0% | 633 | 667.4 | 0.95× |
| [Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-field-tested) | 67.0% | $0.07 0.14 coins | 0.1% | 5,588 | 5589.4 | 1.00× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $89.71 179 coins $10.9K 21,888 coins 122.0x 2026-11-11 01:03 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $89.71 179 coins $10.9K 21,888 coins 122.0x 2026-11-06 05:23 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $89.71 179 coins $10.9K 21,888 coins 122.0x 2026-11-02 23:09 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $89.71 179 coins $9,925 19,850 coins 110.6x 2026-11-08 07:51 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $89.71 179 coins $9,925 19,850 coins 110.6x 2026-11-06 07:48 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $89.71 179 coins $9,925 19,850 coins 110.6x 2026-11-04 18:15 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $89.71 179 coins $9,925 19,850 coins 110.6x 2026-11-04 04:09 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $89.71 179 coins $9,847 19,695 coins 109.8x 2026-11-08 21:32 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $89.71 179 coins $9,847 19,695 coins 109.8x 2026-11-07 14:09 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $89.71 179 coins $9,847 19,695 coins 109.8x 2026-11-07 03:42 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=meluhdy)

[Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-field-tested) Hidden $89.71 179 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-field-tested) Hidden $89.71 179 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-field-tested) Hidden $89.71 179 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-field-tested) Hidden $89.71 179 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-field-tested) Hidden $89.71 179 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-field-tested) Hidden $89.71 179 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-field-tested) Hidden $89.71 179 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [nigxoo](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/nigxoo) $89.71 179 coins $10.59 21.17 coins 0.12x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-field-tested) Hidden $89.71 179 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:22 UTC

[Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-field-tested) Hidden $89.71 179 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:22 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $89.71 | 90.00% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 1.0% contraband 0.1% covert 8.6% extraordinary 0.1% remarkable 0.1% knifes 0.0% high 0.1% Mil Spec Grade 4.0% classified 19.0% mil spec 67.0% best hit $10.9K (122.0x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt