--- title: "mercedes benz original case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "mercedes benz original ($5.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 51.43% over 1,477 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mercedes-benz-original rendered: 2026-11-12T16:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [mercedes benz original](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mercedes-benz-original) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · mercedes benz original A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mercedes-benz-original?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mercedes-benz-original?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mercedes-benz-original) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mercedes-benz-original?window=all) Price · $5.00 · 10 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 51.43% · 1,477 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 108 openings · below min 7 days · 898 openings · below min 30 days · 51.43% ±48.27 1,477 openings since tracking started · 51.43% ±48.27 1,477 openings -0.5% 50.0% 100.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mercedes-benz-original?window=24h) | 108 | 1.25% ±0.05 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mercedes-benz-original?window=7d) | 898 | 21.09% ±24.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mercedes-benz-original) | 1,477 | 51.43% ±48.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mercedes-benz-original?window=all) | 1,477 | 51.43% ±48.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $1,301 2,602 coins 260.2x 2026-11-05 14:44 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $1,048 2,096 coins 209.6x 2026-11-03 05:03 UTC [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) weapon · red · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $466 933 coins 93.29x 2026-11-06 00:16 UTC [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) weapon · red · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [TMUBB](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/TMUBB) $5.00 10 coins $466 933 coins 93.29x 2026-11-04 08:56 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=mercedes-benz-original) [MAC-10 | Palm (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-palm-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.06 0.11 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 16:00 UTC [MAC-10 | Palm (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-palm-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.06 0.11 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 16:00 UTC [MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.09 0.18 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 16:00 UTC [MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.09 0.18 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 16:00 UTC [MAC-10 | Palm (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-palm-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.06 0.11 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 16:00 UTC [MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.09 0.18 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 16:00 UTC [MAC-10 | Palm (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-palm-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.06 0.11 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 16:00 UTC [MAC-10 | Palm (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-palm-minimal-wear) [alve111215outl](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/alve111215outl) $5.00 10 coins $0.06 0.11 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 16:00 UTC [MAC-10 | Palm (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-palm-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.06 0.11 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 09:27 UTC [MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.09 0.18 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 09:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,301 (260.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 51.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $51.43 on average: an expected loss of $48.57 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt