--- title: "Mercedes Benz case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Mercedes Benz ($5.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 55.54% over 1,332 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mercedes-benz rendered: 2026-11-12T08:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Mercedes Benz](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mercedes-benz) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Mercedes Benz A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mercedes-benz?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mercedes-benz?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mercedes-benz) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mercedes-benz?window=all) Price · $5.00 · 10 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 55.54% · 1,332 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 410 openings · below min 7 days · 57.82% ±41.36 1,010 openings 30 days · 55.54% ±33.07 1,332 openings since tracking started · 55.54% ±33.07 1,332 openings -0.5% 93.5% 187.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mercedes-benz?window=24h) | 410 | 90.45% ±96.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mercedes-benz?window=7d) | 1,010 | 57.82% ±41.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mercedes-benz) | 1,332 | 55.54% ±33.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mercedes-benz?window=all) | 1,332 | 55.54% ±33.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) [patriarch1337](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/patriarch1337) $5.00 10 coins $932 1,864 coins 186.4x 2026-11-11 18:15 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=mercedes-benz) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [narkobaron](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/narkobaron) $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [narkobaron](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/narkobaron) $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $932 (186.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 55.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $55.54 on average: an expected loss of $44.46 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt