--- title: "Metal Legion case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Metal Legion ($12.34) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 78.66% over 134 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/metal-legion rendered: 2026-11-11T22:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Metal Legion](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/metal-legion) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Metal Legion A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/metal-legion?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/metal-legion?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/metal-legion) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/metal-legion?window=all) Price · $12.34 · 24.67 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $11.10 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.66% · 134 openings, odds method Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 26.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 74.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 24 openings · below min 7 days · 78.66% ±23.91 134 openings 30 days · 78.66% ±23.91 134 openings since tracking started · 78.66% ±23.91 134 openings 39.0% 96.2% 153.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/metal-legion?window=24h) | 24 | 96.24% ±56.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/metal-legion?window=7d) | 134 | 78.66% ±23.9 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/metal-legion) | 134 | 78.66% ±23.9 | −0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/metal-legion?window=all) | 134 | 78.66% ±23.9 | −0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 134 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $76.74 153 coins | 20.7% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.75× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $66.94 134 coins | 18.1% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.75× | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 20.0% | $22.86 45.72 coins | 41.2% | 24 | 26.8 | 0.90× | | [Nova \| Graphite (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-graphite-factory-new) | 20.0% | $6.70 13.4 coins | 12.1% | 30 | 26.8 | 1.12× | | [MAG-7 \| Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) | 20.0% | $2.63 5.26 coins | 4.7% | 32 | 26.8 | 1.19× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) | 17.0% | $2.07 4.14 coins | 3.2% | 17 | 22.8 | 0.75× | | [P2000 \| Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 11 | 11.4 | 0.97× | | [MAG-7 \| Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-rust-coat-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 14 | 11.4 | 1.23× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=metal-legion) [CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) Hidden $12.34 24.67 coins $2.07 4.14 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [Nova | Graphite (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-graphite-factory-new) Hidden $12.34 24.67 coins $6.70 13.4 coins 0.54x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) Hidden $12.34 24.67 coins $2.63 5.26 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [Nova | Graphite (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-graphite-factory-new) [Rubix](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Rubix) $12.34 24.67 coins $6.70 13.4 coins 0.54x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) Hidden $12.34 24.67 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [Nova | Graphite (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-graphite-factory-new) Hidden $12.34 24.67 coins $6.70 13.4 coins 0.54x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) Hidden $12.34 24.67 coins $2.07 4.14 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) [Rubix](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Rubix) $12.34 24.67 coins $2.07 4.14 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [USP-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $12.34 24.67 coins $22.86 45.72 coins 1.85x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [Nova | Graphite (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-graphite-factory-new) Hidden $12.34 24.67 coins $6.70 13.4 coins 0.54x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $12.34 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 26.0% restricted 20.0% Mil Spec Grade 20.0% light blue 17.0% industrial 8.5% Consumer Grade 8.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt