--- title: "Midnight case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Midnight ($1.78) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 74.55% over 230 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/midnight rendered: 2026-11-12T02:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Midnight](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/midnight) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Midnight A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/midnight?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/midnight?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/midnight) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/midnight?window=all) Price · $1.78 · 3.55 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 74.55% · 230 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 90 openings · below min 30 days · 230 openings · below min since tracking started · 230 openings · below min -0.5% 214.8% 430.0% **Small sample.** 230 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/midnight?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/midnight?window=7d) | 90 | 155.26% ±274.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/midnight) | 230 | 74.55% ±107.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/midnight?window=all) | 230 | 74.55% ±107.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bayonet | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-field-tested) [chxngezs](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/chxngezs) $1.78 3.55 coins $223 446 coins 125.7x 2026-11-10 18:15 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=midnight) [Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1.78 3.55 coins $0.04 0.09 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 18:11 UTC [★ Bayonet | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-field-tested) [chxngezs](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/chxngezs) $1.78 3.55 coins $223 446 coins 125.7x 2026-11-10 18:11 UTC [Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1.78 3.55 coins $0.04 0.09 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 18:11 UTC [Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1.78 3.55 coins $0.04 0.09 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 18:11 UTC [Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1.78 3.55 coins $0.04 0.09 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 18:11 UTC [Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1.78 3.55 coins $0.04 0.09 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 18:11 UTC [Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-black-sand-field-tested) [LunarComet2794](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/LunarComet2794) $1.78 3.55 coins $0.04 0.09 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 13:01 UTC [Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1.78 3.55 coins $0.04 0.09 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 13:01 UTC [Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1.78 3.55 coins $0.04 0.09 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 13:01 UTC [Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1.78 3.55 coins $0.04 0.09 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 13:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $223 (125.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 74.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $74.55 on average: an expected loss of $25.45 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt