--- title: "mingyu061226 dlore FIRE! on Chicken.gg: odds & RTP" description: "mingyu061226 dlore FIRE! ($9,627.33) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 74.58% over 404 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mingyu061226-dlore-fire rendered: 2026-11-12T02:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [mingyu061226 dlore FIRE!](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mingyu061226-dlore-fire) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · mingyu061226 dlore FIRE! A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mingyu061226-dlore-fire?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mingyu061226-dlore-fire?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mingyu061226-dlore-fire) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mingyu061226-dlore-fire?window=all) Price · $9,627.33 · 19,255 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 74.58% · 404 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 404 openings · below min 30 days · 404 openings · below min since tracking started · 404 openings · below min 37.5% 74.8% 112.0% **Small sample.** 404 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mingyu061226-dlore-fire?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mingyu061226-dlore-fire?window=7d) | 404 | 74.58% ±36.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mingyu061226-dlore-fire) | 404 | 74.58% ±36.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mingyu061226-dlore-fire?window=all) | 404 | 74.58% ±36.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) [Nirra](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Nirra) $9,627 19,255 coins $217K 434,217 coins 22.55x 2026-11-10 10:28 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $9,627 19,255 coins $217K 434,217 coins 22.55x 2026-11-10 10:27 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $9,627 19,255 coins $217K 434,217 coins 22.55x 2026-11-10 10:27 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) [Nirra](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Nirra) $9,627 19,255 coins $217K 434,217 coins 22.55x 2026-11-10 10:27 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $9,627 19,255 coins $217K 434,217 coins 22.55x 2026-11-10 10:27 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $9,627 19,255 coins $217K 434,217 coins 22.55x 2026-11-10 10:27 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $9,627 19,255 coins $217K 434,217 coins 22.55x 2026-11-10 10:26 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $9,627 19,255 coins $217K 434,217 coins 22.55x 2026-11-10 10:26 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) [Nirra](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Nirra) $9,627 19,255 coins $217K 434,217 coins 22.55x 2026-11-10 10:26 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $9,627 19,255 coins $217K 434,217 coins 22.55x 2026-11-10 10:26 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=mingyu061226-dlore-fire) [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) [Nirra](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Nirra) $9,627 19,255 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:29 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $9,627 19,255 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:29 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $9,627 19,255 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:29 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $9,627 19,255 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:29 UTC [Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $9,627 19,255 coins $36.5K 72,902 coins 3.79x 2026-11-10 10:29 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $9,627 19,255 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:29 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $9,627 19,255 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:29 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $9,627 19,255 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:29 UTC [Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) [Nirra](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Nirra) $9,627 19,255 coins $36.5K 72,902 coins 3.79x 2026-11-10 10:28 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $9,627 19,255 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $217K (22.55x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 74.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $74.58 on average: an expected loss of $25.42 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt